This is the data the drug industry do not want you to see. Here 2 centuries of UK, USA and Australian official death statistics show conclusively and scientifically modern medicine is not responsible for and played little part in substantially improved life expectancy and survival from disease in western economies.
The Measles mortality graphs are enlightening [more below] and contradict the claims of Government health officials that vaccines have saved millions of lives. It is an unscientific claim which the data show is untrue. Here you will also learn why vaccinations like mumps and rubella for children are medically unethical and can expose medical professionals to liability for criminal proceedings and civil damages for administering them.
[Click Graph to Enlarge - Opens In New Window]
The success of the City of Leicester, England was remarkable in reducing smallpox mortality substantially compared to the rest of England and other countries by abandoning vaccination between 1882 and 1908 [see more below].
This contrasts how the drug industry has turned each child in the world into a human pin-cushion profit centre.
The financial markets have known for 20 years and more the pharmaceutical industry’s blockbuster patented drugs business model would eventualy fail We now see the Bill Gates’ type business model emerging – almost everyone has Windows software on their PC – almost everyone will be vax’ed. Gates quickly became a multi-billionaire. With vastly more people to vaccinate than computers requiring software the lure of money is many times greater. All this whilst we watch as childhood prevalence of asthma, allergies, autism, diabetes and more have increased exponentially as the vaccines have been introduced.
Contents
Typhoid & Scarlet Fever – Mortality UK, USA & Australia
Mumps Mortality – England & Wales
Rubella Mortality – England and Wales
Mortality, Life Expectancy, Healthcare Costs UK, USA and Worldwide
Disease Mortality UK, USA & Australia
Mortality Measles, Scarlet Fever, Whooping Cough, Typhoid, Diphtheria, Influenza, Pneumonia & Tuberculosis
Diphtheria Mortality – England, USA & Australia
Whooping Cough (Pertussis) Mortality Rates – UK, USA & Australia
Tetanus Mortality – England & Wales 1901 to 1999
Smallpox Mortality – UK, USA & Sweden
Leicester & Smallpox
Extracts From “Leicester: Sanitation Versus Vaccination” by J.t. Biggs J.p.
Table 21. – Smallpox Fatality Rates Compared with “Unprotected” Leicester – 1860 to 1908.
Table 29. Small-pox Epidemics – Cost and Fatality Rates Compared
[ED Note 15 Oct 2009: As information like that here has become available health officials are changing from scaremongering parents into vaccinating with claims their child could die. Now they claim vaccinating reduces the numbers of cases of disease [ie. instead of deaths] and produce graphs of dramatic falls in reported cases (instead of deaths) when measles vaccine was introduced.
This is again misleading. A dramatic fall in the numbers of reported measles cases would be expected. Doctors substantially overdiagnose measles cases especially when they believe it is a possible diagnosis. Doctors were told the vaccine prevented children getting measles when introduced in the late 1960’s so after that time a substantial reduction in diagnoses would be expected.
Examples of recent overdiagnoses of measles when there are measles “scares” are up to 74 times (or 7400% overdiagnosed). Figures and sources follow the next paragraph.
What health officials are also doing is relying on very old and unreliable data which ignores that measles has become progressively milder so the risks of long term injury have diminished – (and death is the most extreme form of long term injury – shown here by official data to have diminished rapidly and substantially over the past 100 years without the risks posed to children’s health by vaccines).
Measles Over Diagnosed – Up to 7400%
A. Laboratory confirmed cases of measles, mumps, and rubella, England and Wales: October to December 2004
Notified: 474, Tested: 589†, Confirmed cases: 8
RATE OF OVERDIAGNOSIS:- 589/8 = 7400% or 74 times overdiagnosed
SOURCE: CDR Weekly, Volume 15 Number 12 Published: 24 March 2005
[Note from Source: "†Some oral fluid specimens were submitted early from suspected cases and may not have been subsequently notified, thus the proportion tested is artificially high for this quarter."]
B. Total confirmed cases of measles and oral fluid IgM antibody tests in cases notified to ONS*: weeks 40-52/2005
Notified: 408, Tested: 343, Confirmed cases: 22
RATE OF OVERDIAGNOSIS:- 408/22 = 1850 % or 18.5 times overdiagnosed
SOURCE: CDR Weekly, Volume 16 Number 12 Published on: 23 March 2006
Scurvy Mortality Rates
To start you with something simple, Scurvy, Typhoid and Scarlet Fever are good examples to use as comparisons with “vaccinatable” diseases.
The main advances in combating disease over 200 years have been better food and clean drinking water. Improved sanitation, less overcrowded and better living conditions also contribute.
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Medicine and especially drugs and vaccines played no part in the fall in Scurvy death rates and the same can be seen for other diseases. Scurvy is a condition caused by a lack of vitamin C. Poor nutrition, particularly a lack of fresh fruit and vegetables, can result in Scurvy. Mortality rates fell dramatically as living conditions improved.
Typhoid & Scarlet Fever – Mortality UK, USA & Australia
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[SOURCE: Data - Official Year Books of the Commonwealth of Australia, as reproduced in Greg Beattie's book "Vaccination A Parent's Dilemma"]
[SOURCE: Data - Official Year Books of the Commonwealth of Australia, as reproduced in Greg Beattie's book "Vaccination A Parent's Dilemma"]
MEASLES MORTALITY UK & USA
By 2007 the chance of anyone in England and Wales dying of measles if no one were vaccinated was less than 1 in 55 million. The chance of being struck by lightning is 30 to 60 times higher: Tornado & Storm Research Organisation
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Note that what seem large fluctuations after MMR vaccination was introduced in 1988 are not so large and are a feature of plotting the graph on a logarithmic scale. This can be seen in the following graph, plotted on an analog scale.
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The graph below is from a peer refereed medical paper: Englehandt SF, Halsey NA, Eddins DL, Hinman AR. Measles mortality in the United States 1971-1975. Am J Public Health 1980;70:1166–1169. The red dotted trendline has been added. This shows US measles mortality was falling regardless of whether vaccination was used. By 2010 overall measles mortality in the USA was to fall to around 1 in 25 million without vaccines. As the severity of measles declined, long term complications would also. Whilst people still caught measles it was not the dreaded disease we are told it is today.
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The seeming fall in reported ordinary [ie. non fatal] measles cases in the above Halsey graph after 1968 is misleading. Doctors are poor in accuracy of diagnosis and follow fashions. Official UK records for 2006 show that when doctors are looking for a disease, they overdiagnose suspected measles cases by ten times higher than are confirmed by laboratory testing [CDR Weekly, PHLS 12:26].
Correspondingly, when vaccination was introduced, they will tend to follow the fashion of not diagnosing measles, where they believe it controlled by vaccination. This following of fashions has been seen in other areas, including Coroner diagnoses of causes of death.
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[SOURCE: Data - Official Year Books of the Commonwealth of Australia, as reproduced in Greg Beattie's book "Vaccination A Parent's Dilemma"]
Mumps Mortality – England & Wales
It is not exaggeration but accurate to state that mumps vaccination takes the medical profession firmly into the territory of the criminal law and unethical medical treatment of children.
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Providing treatment to a patient that is not clinically needed and misleading patients as to the clinical need for a treatment so as to vitiate their consent can mean the administration of the treatment is a criminal offence: Appleton v Garrett (1995) 34 BMLR 23.
According to The British Medical Association ('BMA') and The Royal Pharmaceutical Society of Great Britain (RPSGB) mumps vaccination is clinically inappropriate:-
Freedom of Information documents show the UK's Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation and Ministry of Defence agreed as early as 1974 that:-
"there was no need to introduce routine vaccination against mumps" because "complications from the disease were rare" JCVI minutes 11 Dec 1974.
Doctors and nurses who fail to tell parents mumps vaccine in MMR is clinically unnecessary, of the exact risks of adverse reactions and then give the vaccine appear to be behaving unethically, potentially in contravention of the criminal law and liable to civil proceedings for damages. They are also unable to explain the exact risks because data on adverse reactions are not being collected properly or at all, and there is evidence showing adverse reaction data are suppressed.
A consequence is that giving MMR vaccine to children cannot be justified on clinical or ethical grounds. And as there is insufficient clinical benefit to children to introduce mass mumps vaccination, it cannot be justified as a general public health measure.
And one consequence of this unnecessary measure is that we are now putting young male adults at risk of orchitis and sterility because they did not catch natural mumps harmlessly when children and because MMR vaccination is not effective in conferring full or lasting immunity across an entire population.
One effect of MMR vaccination has been to push mumps outbreaks into older age groups. Mumps now circulates in colleges and universities: Mumps and the UK epidemic 2005, R K Gupta, J Best, E MacMahon BMJ 2005;330:1132-1135 (14 May).
1 in 4 males who has achieved puberty and has not achieved immunity to mumps runs the risk of orchitis. Orchitis (usually unilateral) has been reported as a complication in 20-30% of clinical mumps cases in postpubertal males. Some testicular atrophy occurs in about 35% of cases of mumps orchitis: Mumps - Emedicine. This means one of the male testicles shrivels up. Affected men can become sterile in one testicle. This affects one in every nine males who catch mumps after puberty compared with none who catch it before puberty. It is only because most men have two testicles and only one is affected that total sterility is rare. Most men would find that little consolation. Having a shrivelled testicle would carry psychological and practical consequences for any intimate physical relationship in adult life. The message seems to be it is better for a child to catch mumps naturally before puberty.
Rubella Mortality, England and Wales
As with mumps, rubella vaccination again takes the medical profession into the territory of the criminal law and unethical treatment of children. A graph for rubella mortality is not included because death from rubella over the last century was so rare the figures are insufficient to plot a graph of any note.
Aside from a rash the adverse effects of rubella for children are minimal. Vaccination against rubella is of no clinical benefit to a child particularly when compared to the risks of adverse vaccine reactions. If a pregnant woman catches rubella infection during the first three months of pregnancy and the child survives, this poses a risk to the unborn child of being born with congenital rubella syndrome (CRS), involving multiple congenital abnormalities.
Prior to the introduction of rubella vaccine, the number of annual cases in the UK was small, around 50 per annum. Additionally, 92% of rubella cases deliver normal healthy children: DANISH MEDICAL BULLETIN MARCH 1987 - WAVES Vol. 11 No. 4 p. 21 .This small risk can also be reduced either by making sure all women have caught rubella as children or by vaccinating those who have not prior to puberty. This minimises the exposure of children to the vaccine and hence to unnecessary risks of adverse vaccine reactions.
In comparison birth defects from any other cause are much higher:
"Birth defects affect about one in every 33 babies born in the United States each year. They are the leading cause of infant deaths, accounting for more than 20% of all infant deaths. Babies born with birth defects have a greater chance of illness and long term disability than babies without birth defects.": Birth Defects US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - accessed 11th May 2008
- False Government Rubella Scare Stories - Reply to Professor Louis Z Cooper 6 June 2005
- Rubella Scares - Demonstrating the Figures are False 11 August 2005
- False Government Rubella Scare Stories - Only 20,000 Percent Overstated 1 June 2005
MORTALITY, LIFE EXPECTANCY, HEALTHCARE COSTS UK, USA AND WORLDWIDE
Does paying for healthcare bring you better health and a longer life? No. The following graphs show that in 1996, average life expectancy in the US was 18th of all countries, being 5 years less than Canada and behind the UK. But Americans were paying per person US$1000 or over 1/3rd more than Canadians and nearly 2/3rds more than the British. And if you then take a look at the graphs of mortality, what were Americans getting for their money? Mortality rates were falling anyway, regardless and kept on falling. Life expectancy increased as time went by, but again substantially due to overall improved living conditions.
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MORTALITY – USA AND UK
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DISEASE MORTALITY UK, USA & AUSTRALIA
MEASLES, SCARLET FEVER, WHOOPING COUGH, TYPHOID, DIPHTHERIA, INFLUENZA, PNEUMONIA & TUBERCULOSIS
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The following is the same USA graph as just above, but with Influenza and Tuberculosis Deaths included. And you can see that Influenza deaths were not prevented by a vaccine – because for most of the period covered, there was no vaccine available at all and when it became available, it was not freely available until the present day – when guess what – ‘flu mortality had already plummeted – and guess what else – it does not work particularly well either – in fact so badly it may well be best avoided.
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The following is the same graph as above but showing the full curve for influenza and pneumonia mortality.
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DIPHTHERIA MORTALITY
England, USA & Australia
Here we see Diphtheria mortality falling all by itself. In the UK, although the vaccine was introduced in 1940, most children particularly under 5 did not get it and there was a large catch-up campaign in 1945-6. The under 5 age group are the most at risk from infectious disease. But can you see any difference in the rate of fall of mortality from Diphtheria after 1946 in the UK? No? Surprised? The “success” of diphtheria vaccine is another unscientific quasi religious faith of the medical professions which is not backed up by scientific data.
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[SOURCE: Data - Official Year Books of the Commonwealth of Australia, as reproduced in Greg Beattie's book "Vaccination A Parent's Dilemma"]
Diphtheria vaccine was introduced to the UK in 1940. It is certain beyond doubt that diptheria vaccine played no part in the sudden fall in diphtheria mortality from 1941 to 1946 [see graph] . The records show most children went unvaccinated until after the major fall. The graph of total infant mortality as a benchmark also shows the vaccine made no discernible difference to diphtheria mortality at any other time.
By the end of 1941:-
“about 36 percent of school age children had been immunised but only about 19 percent of the younger children“: British Journal of Nursing October 1948 p121.
It was not until 1946-7 – after the substantial fall in diphtheria mortality had taken place that a major effort was made to vaccinate the children who had been missed. 969,000 children under 5 were “immunised”: British Journal of Nursing October 1948 p121. With an annual birth rate in the region of 200,000 that represented most of the children born during 1941 to 1946. So diphtheria vaccination could not have been responsible for the fall.
But we can identify what was most likely responsible. We can see the impact of the social health and welfare reforms of 1944, 1947 and 1948. Free school milk provided, among other nourishment, vitamin A to help children’s immune systems fight disease. It is vitamin A which the World Health Organisation is keen to provide to third world children now for the same reason.
It can be seen that the benchmark decline in general infant mortality (ie. all causes of infant death) closely follows the decline in diphtheria mortality in the general population. This again demonstrates that the decline in diphtheria mortality was part of a general trend and had little or nothing to do with the introduction of vaccination.
WHOOPING COUGH (PERTUSSIS) MORTALITY – UK, USA & Australia
Whooping Cough or Pertussis – again, the mortality rates fell substantially well before any vaccines were introduced. The contribution, if any, to overall health has been neglible. The decline in general infant mortality closely follows the decline in Whooping Cough mortality in the general population. This again demonstrates that the decline in Whooping Cough mortality was part of a general trend and had little or nothing to do with the introduction of vaccination:-
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[SOURCE: Data - Official Year Books of the Commonwealth of Australia, as reproduced in Greg Beattie's book "Vaccination A Parent's Dilemma"]
Tetanus Mortality – England & Wales 1901 to 1999
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- Tetanus Mortality England & Wales 1901 to 1999
This graph demonstrates that the administration of tetanus vaccine is likely to be pointless and puts children especially at risk of adverse reactions to the vaccines.
There is only one respect in which modern medicine could have had an indirect effect. This came with the social reforms of 1947-48 which saw the introduction of the National Health Service. Coupled with this was the start of the reduction in numbers of farm workers with the start of increased mechanisation and industrial scale farming in Britain after the 1939-1945 World War. The numbers of farm labour fell by half post war and the increase in mechanisation also reduced the chances of the injuries which were likely to result in tetanus
Fewer agricultural workers coupled with better access to healthcare would result in better treatment of wounds. Tetanus thrives in deep wounds which are not properly cleansed. So by having fewer agricultural workers and better wound care could reduce the incidence of tetanus cases. So if the reduction in tetanus mortality in the 1950s is anything other than part of the continuing decline with better standards of living, those two reasons are the most likely explanations.
SMALLPOX MORTALITY-UK, USA & SWEDEN
In the graphs notice the large numbers of deaths caused by the smallpox vaccine itself. By 1901 in the UK, more people died from the smallpox vaccination than from smallpox itself. The severity of the disease dimished with improved living standards and was not vanquished by vaccination, as the medical "consensus" view tells us. Any vaccine which takes 100 years to "work" is not. On any scientific analysis of the history and data, crediting smallpox vaccine for the decline in smallpox appears misplaced.
When during 1880-1908 the City of Leicester in England stopped vaccination compared to the rest of the UK and elsewhere, its survival rates soared and smallpox death rates plummetted [see table below]. Leicester’s approach also cost far less.
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Extracts from “LEICESTER: Sanitation versus Vaccination” By J.T. Biggs J.P.
For more details see:LEICESTER AND SMALL-POX
SMALLPOX FATALITY RATES, cases in vaccinated and re-vaccinated populations compared with “unprotected” Leicester – 1860 to 1908.
|
Name. |
Period. |
Small-Pox. Cases |
Small-Pox. Deaths. |
Fatality-rate per cent. of Cases |
|
Japan |
1886-1908 |
288,779 |
77,415 |
26.8 |
|
British Army (United Kingdom) |
1860-1908 |
1,355 |
96 |
7.1 |
|
British Army (India) |
1860-1908 |
2,753 |
307 |
11.1 |
|
British Army (Colonies) |
1860-1908 |
934 |
82 |
8.8 |
|
Royal Navy |
1860-1908 |
2,909 |
234 |
8.0 |
|
Grand Totals and case fatality rate per cent, over all |
|
296,730 |
78,134 |
26.3 |
|
Leicester (since giving up vaccination) |
1880-1908 |
1,206 |
61 |
5.1 |
Biggs said “In this comparison, I have given the numbers of revaccinated cases, and deaths, and each fatality-rate separately and together, so that they may be compared either way with Leicester. In pro-vaccinist language, may I ask, if the excessive small-pox fatality of Japan, of the British Army, and of the Royal Navy, are not due to vaccination and revaccination, to what are they due? It would afford an interesting psychical study were we able to know to what heights of eloquent glorification Sir George Buchanan would have soared with a corresponding result—but on the opposite side.“
Small-Pox Epidemics, Cost, and Fatality Rates Compared
|
|
Vaccinal Condition |
Small-Pox Cases |
Small-Pox Deaths |
Fatality-rate Per Cent |
Cost of Epidemic |
|
London 1900-02 |
Well Vaccinated |
9,659 |
1,594 |
16.50 |
£492,000 |
|
Glasgow 1900-02 |
Well Vaccinated |
3,417 |
377 |
11.03 |
£ 150,000 |
|
Sheffield 1887-88 |
Well Vaccinated |
7,066 |
688 |
9.73 |
£32,257 |
|
Leicester 1892-94 |
Practically Unvaccinated |
393 |
21 |
5.34 |
£2,888 |
| Leicester 1902-04 | Practically Unvaccinated | 731 | 30 | 4.10 | £1,602 |
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Truly impressive work in pulling this together– thank you.
Thank you so much for this research. My daughter will have a baby in June and we’ve been talking vaccines…actually … non-vaccine for her baby. But she’s a medical student on her way to be a nurse so she’s in the middle of it and is almost brainwashed about the allopathic model of healing/disease.
Hope she gets it.
Thank you.
Yves Vincent
Thank you for finding and publishing this data!
Wonderful research. Most useful and convincing data [ED: Minor edit] I shall spread the message to everyone in my circle.
This is great having all this in one place. You put a lot of time and work into this. I know because I did something similar but on a smaller scale. Great job. I would like permission to put a link to your site on my website.
[...] water, keep your head cool. When your better regained your strength, you might want to read this: Vaccines Did Not Save Us – 2 Centuries of Official Statistics ________________Child Health Safety___… Love, Courage and Water, Kars __________________ http://www.freeapnea.nl -~- Discover yourself in [...]
[...] Deaths from childhood afflictions were already plummeting before the introduction of vaccines, see http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/graphs/ [...]
Thank you so much for pulling all this valuable information together. It’s time people learn the truth.
[...] diseases have been eradicated (from Europe, or the world) by vaccination is a myth. See the graphs here. I know many people who have never been vaccinated. They are the healthiest people I know. The [...]
You absolutely have to be kidding me, right? Propoganda bullshit to bring about the end of vaccinations. WTF for? You like seeing kids die? You like seeing kids suffer needlessly because you got a bug up your butt and decided vaccines were to blame for your problems?
What a load of bullshit. Way to sell it as a conspiracy, too. Dumbass.
Actually, not angry at all. Just pointing out you are full of shit. Much quicker than bothering to engage you in reasoned debate. Been there done that doesn’t do any good with conspiracy theorists. Dude, have you read what you’ve written? You’re the one saying the government and big companies don’t want people to know this stuff and you don’t think that reeks of conspiracy theories?
Awww, I like that. Strawman arguments. Do you keep them typed up and at the ready to toss out anytime you need them?
I didn’t argue that government and big business didn’t engage in underhanded, nefarious tactics. I just argued that your comments suggesting a near global conspiracy was full of shit. Oh, and that you’re wrong. See?
I engaged in name calling in my previous posts. Just in case you were wondering, those aren’t ad homs, just flat out personal attacks. Although I was arguing you were a dumbass based on your arguments.
Cool slight of hand on your part. Throw enough text at your readers and quotes that they conclude you must be right.
Excellent articles and graphs! Sadly, many still believe the same lies that their doctors tell them (gasp, how could my doctor be WRONG? Oh, they’re Godlike, they can’t be incorrect). Remember, the Catholic church persecuted Galieo for believing the earth revolved around the sun. Yet, he was right. The same with vaccines is true here. Pasteur was favored by Napoleon, and Antoine Bechamp was not. Bechamp theories about germs seem to be finally getting some notice, yet medical ’science’ is always last to believe what is known by parents and other people alike. Vaccines are toxic. Injecting formaldehyde into a child is not good medical practice. You see how they are trying to sell fear, by saying how ‘terrible’ chickenpox is, children can die from it, etc etc etc. Yet, since they are getting rid of chickenpox, shingles seems to be rising among the population. There is so much that medicine does not know about viruses and bacteria, and yet they continually tamper with them and try to ‘get rid’ of them. Maybe they are here for a reason? Maybe the reason that polio became a problem was because of all the DDT spraying? After all, it was a ’summer disease’, the height of DDT spraying on cows and crops.
I find most of this terribly misleading. Mortality rates don’t tell you about the many who survive the disease, but are permanently crippled by it (for example, smallpox survivors are often left blind). If you look at the # of cases, it seems clear, in the case of measles for example, that the vaccine had a huge impact. The fact that the mortality rates dropped before the vaccine was introduced is not surprising – as health care and sanitation get better people might be more likely to survive the disease. But personally I’d rather not get the disease in the first place – some of these, like polio or smallpox, have horrible lifelong consequences even if you do survive.
Most of the graphs are also very misleading – you never show us the data from before the vaccine was introduced! I think that it something that you would rather that *we* did not see, because it would be much harder for you to argue against vaccines. To give you an idea (for smallpox at least), there were in the neighborhood of 400,000+ smallpox deaths per year in Europe from 1400 – 1800. Compare that to the graphs here, which only begin long after the vaccine was introduced, and show deaths number in the tens.
If you want to make a solid argument, you have to show us incidence rates (i.e. number of cases per year, or number of cases per 100,000). Showing us mortality rates is misleading. Vaccines don’t help you get over the disease – they prevent you from getting it in the first place! So if you want to see if a vaccine was effective you have to look at number of cases.
[...] Hence the virtual elimination of childhood mortality (from those diseases), as shown by these carefully compiled statistics and graphs. So, why is so much public money being wasted on vaccination? [Ditto fluoridation...] What [...]
I find Thelma’s abusive personal attacks are attempts at flaming this thread & offer nothing to this analysis. There is no doubt people are employed to flame, trash, spoil, dumb down, distract, influence, ridicule, blogs & forums who are aware that people are turning off corporate media & instead getting information from places like this.
They are employed by government & powerful corporate interests through media management agencies.
At the same time, the corporations are desperate to come after a free & open internet by only offering fixed package access which limits the sites we can visit unless we pay.
We must protect the internet even if it means keeping people like ‘thelma’ in a job!
Thanks to everyone who has posted here.
thelma, go away unless you can behave in a civil manner. You have absolutely no right to talk to anyone in that way. Please ignore any future posts from this cyber thug until they offer information rather than insults. I will.
Great information!
[...] people want it; some people don't. Why should the taxpayer foot the bill? After all, vaccination doesn't really work. __________________ "If I'm in government fluoridation will go in the first month in [...]
Dear Ed,
You replies (above) did not really address either of my two questions:
(1) Vaccines are claimed to reduce the *incidence* (not mortality) of a disease. The major vaccines that I know of (polio, measles, etc…) seem to have done this. Can you argue that this is not true?
(2) Citing mortality rates does not say anything about those who survived but were left terribly crippled by the disease. Again, if you get at the incidence in the first place, you reduce the total number of people killed or crippled by the disease. Can you address this point with any hard facts?
Mortality is [# of people dead] / [# of people sick]. This is mostly a function of better treatment and health care, which probably gets better over decades (that is no surprise). Vaccines are only claimed to reduce [# of people sick]. I don’t see that you have shown us any evidence to contradict this claim.
If you think that vaccines do more harm than good overall – well that is a different matter. Given how bad these diseases are, vaccines would have to be enormously harmful in order for this to be true. There isn’t much evidence for this – possibly because vaccines don’t do more harm than good.
Dear Ed
What a load of deceitful nonsense the measles mortality graph is.
It force fits a line of best fit through data that is confounded by major changes. Anyone with any knowledge of medical statistics would realise you have to do “before & after” Lines when major changes have occured that could impact the data.
The UK measles mortality had essentially bottomed out at c 100 deaths in the UK/year for 15-20 years before the introduction of the single measles vaccine in the late 60s, its introduction led to a sharp change of gradient in your graph, reducing the death rate and then in the late 80’s the introduction of MMR led to a precipitous drop in the death rate which essentially eliminated measles deaths from the UK.
How can you ignore what is a clear association between reductions in the mortality rate & the introduction of mass vaccination?
The incidence graph shows the impact of vaccination even more clearly.
Are you really serious in saying you can extrapolate the line of best fit to say that measles mortality would have disappeared in 2005 or whenever without the introduction of vaccination.
The graph & its superimposed line of best fit is one of the best cases of the abuse of statistics I’ve seen in a long time!
Dear Ed
Try looking at the data, start with the period 52/53 to 66/67, the mortality is clearly flat with downward trend. Please show me the contradictory data in your/Clifford Miller’s graph. The evidence stares out at you, and on in introduction of the single vaccine it starts falling again. What happens in 1986/87…MMR’s introduced & look at the change in the slope, a greater than10 fold drop in 2 years, that has been sustained, hadn’t seen that in the previous 100 odd years.
I’m sorry Ed but fitting a single line of best fit over major confounding changes that could influence the data fully deserves the last comment! It is such a basic error, any undergraduate will tell you to fit lines before & after major events to statistically test for significance in changing the parameter you are measuring, mortality rates in this case.
The effect is also shown with the larger numbers of measles notifications http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAweb&HPAwebStandard/HPAweb_C/1195733756107 I guess you have seen that graph before.
Dear Ed
I’m not substituting notifications for mortality, look at the tabulated numbers of deaths if you don’t believe the graphs: http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAweb&HPAwebStandard/HPAweb_C/1195733835814
Individual small numbers may be woobly Dear Ed but that arguement isn’t valid when you see how consistent those small numbers are.
“The flaw in your hypothesis regarding the 1987/8 period is that you are looking at a logarithmic graph where each graduation represents a 10 fold reduction.”
The axis may be marked in 10 fold intervals but of course the data are still discrete linear values, the table of DEATHS , if you care to look at it, is remarkably consistent post MMR. For the last 18 years post MMR the annual number of measles deaths ranged from 0 to 4 (one year only)
[...] work. Some people have taken the trouble to compile those statistics and format them into graphs here. What a tale they tell! [...]
What a great site. Thank you for your tireless researching. You guys are definetly saving children’s lives. God bless.
[...] advocate vaccination until they can come up with a full scientific refutation of the arguments in this paper, which shows that vaccination is not the answer to disease. That's a blog. Anyone could have [...]
Wonderful compilation of valuable information, especially welcome during the times of this Swine flu hyped up BS. Thank you!….
thanks for making shit up. I’m sure you’ll help kill thosands of kids with this junk.
[...] http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/graphs/ [...]