A Vaccine Causing Autism Was First Reported in 1976 – [By 2013 US Autism Spectrum Disorder Rate: 1 in 50 Kids – About 1 in 25 Families]

Few know that the first vaccine linked to “autism” was the smallpox vaccine in a 1976 paper:

Abstract:

3-4 weeks following an otherwise uncomplicated first vaccination against smallpox a boy, then aged 15 months and last seen at the age of 5 1/2 years, gradually developed a complete Kanner syndrome. The question whether vaccination and early infantile autism might be connected is being discussed. A causal relationship is considered extremely unlikely. But vaccination is recognized as having a starter function for the onset of autism”.

Eggers C. [Autistic syndrome (Kanner) and vaccination against smallpox (author’s transl)]. Klin Padiatr. 1976 Mar; 188(2): 172-180. [German]

That any vaccine can cause an autistic condition was confirmed by the US Centers for Disease Control [CDC] and US Health Resources Services Administration [HRSA] in 2008: Vaccination Causes Autism – Say US Government & Merck’s Director of Vaccines

So anyone who claims in one of the many ridiculous “skeptic” and other blog posts that this there is no evidence of any link and it is all attributable to Dr Andrew Wakefield and the MMR vaccine is at best wrong [and at worst something else quite different].

The rate of reported autistic conditions in the USA is 1 in 50 children according to a survey report by the US Centers for Disease Control [CDC] and the US Health Resources Services Administration [HRSA] titled “Changes in Prevalence of Parent-Reported Autism Spectrum Disorder in School-Aged Children: 2007 to 2011-2012.

  • The prevalence of parent-reported ASD among children aged 6-17 years was 2 percent [1 in 50] in 2011-2012 compared to 1.2 percent [1 in 83] in 2007
  • The change in prevalence estimates was greatest for boys and for adolescents aged 14 to 17 years.
  • Children who were first diagnosed in or after 2008 were more likely to have milder ASD than those diagnosed in or before 2007.
  • Much of the increase in the prevalence estimates from 2007 to 2011-2012 for school-aged children was the result of diagnoses of children with previously unrecognized ASD.

The report was co-authored by HRSA and data collection was conducted by the CDC. The data come from the National Survey of Children’s Health, a nationally representative phone survey of households with children. This survey is conducted every four years.

For all the epidemics of chronic childhood medical conditions in the 2006 NHANES report reported that 50% of all children had at least one chronic medical condition and predicted that more than 25% of the USA’s children would have at least one lifetime chronic medical condition, which include, but are not limited to, “autism”, ADHD, asthma/COPD, diabetes, dilated idiopathic cardiomyopathy, encephalitis and encephalopathy, epilepsy, gastrointestinal diseases and disorders, Guillian Barré syndrome, multiple sclerosis, chronic skin conditions, obesity, and vasculitis.

The “symptoms of autism” are the “same” as the symptoms of low-dose organic-mercury poisoning by Thimerosal-preserved vaccines that are still in use in the USA (mainly in the influenza vaccines given to pregnant and lactating women and developing children after 2002 as well as today to all adults annually) and other countries that still use Thimerosal-containing vaccines in their routine early childhood vaccination programs.

The above CHS article uses information kindly provided by Paul G. King  August 16, 2013.

Vaccines Are Causing Measles. Child Who Caught Measles From Vaccine Was Shedding Live Vaccine Measles Virus In Throat and Urine

When health officials in the press criticise parents who do not vaccinate, and some on blogs attack you personally for raising justified concerns about vaccines, you can tell them the evidence is clear, and you can read it here, the vaccinated are more likely to kill a child because they are vaccinated. 

So when someone makes the accusation, send them the link to this CHS post:

http://wp.me/pfSi7-2an

And you can tell them, it is parents of vaccinated children who are most likely to be responsible for those deaths. It is also health officials who fail to warn parents or do anything to ensure effective treatments are developed which might have saved the lives of those who have died or would save those who will die because of the parents who had their children vaccinated.

Read on and you will see current evidence shows it is not just measles but whooping cough and polio vaccines as well.

Regular CHS readers will know to expect health officials will deny vehemently the live measles virus in the MMR and measles vaccines can be passed from a vaccinated individual to infect others with measles [horizontal transmission].  Regular CHS readers will also know to expect that one too many health officials are simply untruthful about vaccine safety and efficacy issues.  They routinely grossly exaggerate disease risks, including from real examples shown here on CHS where some have been caught being untruthful about these matters.

CHS recently reported on MMR vaccine failure with vaccinated individuals catching wild measles and infecting other vaccinated individuals in highly vaccinated populations and there are continuing mumps and whooping cough outbreaks in highly vaccinated populations: US MMR Measles Vaccine Failing – Vaccinated New Yorker Causes Measles Outbreak In Other Vaccinated New Yorkers – Not Caused By Unvaccinated Children.

Most people do not know 5% of those receiving the MMR vaccine catch measles from the live virus in the vaccine:

About 5% of immunocompetent children receiving their first dose of MMR vaccine have mild measles with fever and rash. The vaccine strain can cause severe measles in immunocompromised people.”

British Medical Journal [BMJ] CASE REPORT Rash in a 15 month old girl

What most people also do not know is that the live measles vaccine virus is shed by those infected with vaccine measles.  We give an example here from a medical journal.  So this shows that the vaccinated can kill.  As there are more of them, the chances are higher they will.  But you are told to vaccinate your child to protect those who cannot be vaccinated.  And many people know the old adage “coughs and sneezes spread diseases“.

Here is an example of a vaccine infected child with symptoms of measles shedding the virus in the throat and urine:

We describe excretion of measles vaccine strain Schwarz in a child who developed a febrile rash illness eight days after primary immunisation against measles, mumps and rubella. Throat swabs and urine specimens were collected on the fifth and sixth day of illness, respectively. Genotyping demonstrated measles vaccine strain Schwarz (genotype A). If measles and rubella were not under enhanced surveillance in Croatia, the case would have been either misreported as rubella or not recognised at all.

Spotlight on measles 2010: Excretion of vaccine strain measles virus in urine and pharyngeal secretions of a child with vaccine associated febrile rash illness, Croatia, March 2010

Here is a case in which vaccine measles developed well outside the normal period for incubation of measles:

Virus genotype was determined by the National Microbiology Laboratory in Winnipeg, Canada as vaccine strain, genotype A, MVs/British Columbia/39.13 [A] (VAC)”

Case of vaccine-associated measles five weeks postimmunisation, British Columbia, Canada, October 2013

Now, do you think that if someone dies from vaccine caused measles, anyone would hear about it, or that if it was publicised, no one would lie about the cause not being vaccine measles?

One of the big lies last year in the UK (and there is unfortunately no other word for it but “lie” as it was deliberate) was parents were told that their healthy child could die if not vaccinated with MMR and that 1 in 1000 who catch measles will die.  Data from the UK Health Protection Agency shows there have been nearly 107,000 reported cases of measles in the UK since 1992 but not a single healthy child or adult has died from a case of acute measles since 1992.  That is in 22 years. The only deaths since the last death in 1992 from acute measles have been in 3 already sick immunocompromised individuals and not healthy children vaccinated or not.  So there have been no deaths in all that time in the 5-10% of children not vaccinated but officials falsely claim 1 in 1000 who get measles will die. 

And this is with “herd immunity” too, although as the vaccines have been failing so too have the claims about the vaccine coverage to achieve “herd immunity” been rising, starting with 55% in 1967 in the USA to what was 90% and the 95% being claimed now.  It will soon be 100%.

So what and who are you supposed to believe?  Not public health officials.  They have regrettably proven themselves repeatedly over decades to be unreliable sources of information.

See the figures and especially the quote at bottom of HPA web page:

Prior to 2006, the last death from acute measles was in 1992. In 2006, there was one measles death in a 13 years old male who had an underlying lung condition and was taking immunosuppressive drugs. Another death in 2008 was also due to acute measles in unvaccinated child with congenital immunodeficiency whose condition did not require treatment with immunoglobulin. In 2013, one death was reported in a 25 year old man following acute pneumonia as a complication of measles. “

Measles notifications and deaths in England and Wales, 1940-2013

What the UK HPA omit regarding the death of the 25 year old in Wales was that he was not like your child is likely to be.  He was unwell and immunocompromised.  He was on medication, was severely underweight, was being treated for an alcohol addiction, and he then died two days after being sent home by his own doctor with no medical attention when he then had been seen with a measles rash and in the middle of outbreaks of measles in South Wales UK.  And mention is barely made of the fact that pneumonia after measles was “one of the ‘most likely’” causes of death so it is not even certain it was the pneumonia after measles that was the certain cause:

Giant Cell Pneumonia was one of the “most likely” causes of death associated with measles.  …..  The inquest heard blood and urine tests showed Mr Colfer-Williams, who was very underweight at only seven stones seven pounds despite being five foot nine inches tall, had taken a variety of anti-depressant and other drugs.

Man who died during Swansea measles epidemic died as a result of the disease, inquest hears  Jul 01, 2013 

People who get natural measles have always enjoyed lifelong immunity. Now it is clear that because of vaccination adults may have to have routine boosters of measles vaccine.  So vaccination seems to have destroyed natural disease immunity in the population.  That is a remarkable achievement for  a measure introduced to supposedly eradicate measles in the USA in just one year,  1967: “Measles To Be Eradicated in 1967 With 55% Vaccine Coverage”

It failed then, kept failing during the 1970s, failed again in 1984 in the USA and 1988 in the UK and other countries with the introduction of the MMR [with the also unnecessary mumps component].  Failed again when MMR two doses were introduced because one was not enough.  Failed again and again as health officials kept raising the level of vaccination coverage to achieve supposed “herd immunity” [they started with 55% coverage in 1967]. And now even with 95% coverage levels it is failing.    After that it will be 100% coverage enforced with compulsory vaccination and it will be failing again, with boosters already being suggested for adults.  Now that is an under-impressive record for medical “science” [or should we say pseudoscience? Because that is more accurate.]

The destruction of natural disease immunity is yet another step along the route of making citizens believe and feel they are dependent upon the state and those who control it for their health and security and that of their families and children, just like false flag attacks in the USA do.  The cause of adults in highly vaccinated populations contracting measles and perhaps even dying when with natural immunity they would not, is the vaccines and the vaccine programmes.  So the ways in which the safety from disease conferred by natural immunity is undermined by vaccines are manifold.

And it is not just those vaccinated against measles who are more likely to kill a baby.  Those vaccinated against whooping cough are far far more likely to kill a baby than an unvaccinated child.  You can see that from the following CHS article which we publish again here.

– * – * – * – * – * – * – * – * –

Ever Continuing Worldwide Vaccine Failures – Australia Joins UK & USA In the Whooping Cough Vaccine Fail Club [Again]

Just a “quickie”.  Whooping cough [pertussis] vaccine is not working in Australia according to this report published in The Sidney Morning Herald:  Whooping cough vaccine loses its effectiveness April 14, 2014 Lucy Carroll Health Reporter.

And read on if you want examples to show incompetent journalists they are just plain dumb to fall for the false explanation that the parents of unvaccinated children are to blame for the circulation of  childhood diseases. Here you can find links to mainstream sources revealing how the vaccinated are catching and passing on these ages old basic childhood diseases.

And if you want someone to blame, that is the easy bit.  The reason we do not have effective treatments for these diseases are firstly those incompetent health and science journalists or editors who have not made sure they embarrassed the hell out of government health officials [but suck up to them instead].  Then we have the medical professions.  The egos of some of them are huge [but not big enough to see through the haze of pseudo-scientific junk science they have surrounded themselves with about vaccines].  They shelved development of effective treatments in favour of vaccines, swallowing all the mumbo-jumbo pseudo-science.  And next to them we have government health officials to blame. 

That is the “who is to blame”. And what is the “what” that is to blame?  Easy.  It is vaccines, but more and over all that it is the classic example of the wonders of “science” being screwed up by the wonders of scientists, as seen so many times with things like nuclear power, pesticides and all manner of harmful applications of “science” by “scientists”.

So to Australia’s ineffective whooping cough vaccine we can add:

1) the UK.  And the USA [where in California over 80% of cases were in the fully vaccinated]:

Whooping Cough Vaccine – Doesn’t Work – GSK Says “We Never Bothered to Check”

2) CHS’ previous 2012 report of the record-breaking 5 year whooping cough epidemic in Australia:

Major Whooping Cough Epidemics – Vaccine Not Working

3) the US FDA’s own research findings that the whooping cough vaccine does not stop the disease spreading, with no effective herd immunity. [Although that does not stop the vaccine lobby and incompetent journalists blaming the transmission of naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong]:

Whooping Cough Vaccine Does Not Work – Says US FDA’s Research

And

4) we might as well throw in measles with the failing MMR vaccine in the USA which is also the same one used for years in the UK since 1994: Merck’s MMR II.  And again this shows that measles can be caught and transmitted by fully vaccinated individuals to other fully vaccinated individuals – these are not the unvaccinated but the fully vaccinated, showing it is clearly wrong to blame naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong:

US MMR Measles Vaccine Failing – Vaccinated New Yorker Causes Measles Outbreak In Other Vaccinated New Yorkers – Not Caused By Unvaccinated Children

5) and we also add the failing mumps vaccine in Holland [Netherland], where of course as vaccinated individuals catch mumps and pass it on to other vaccinated individuals, you should now be realising that it is fairly dumb to blame naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong:

Epidemic of Mumps among Vaccinated Persons, the Netherlands, 2009–2012

6) and the mumps failure was also already happening back in 2005/6 in the UK:

Government Risks Male Sterility As Mumps Vaccine Fails

7) and then there is the smallpox vaccine which never worked anyway [unless killing the recipient counts, as it was pretty good at that]:

Smallpox Eradication – One of History’s Biggest Lies & How Vaccination Did Not Eradicate Smallpox

Small Pox – Big Lie – Bioterrorism Implications of Flawed Theories of Eradication

8) and then there is the polio eradication which cost India US$8 billion and in just one year 47,500 cases of what was probably called polio back in the 1940s and 1950s, namely what is now called non polio acute flaccid paralysis [NPAFP].   NPAFP is twice as deadly as polio and bizarrely clinically indistinguishable  from polio and occurred in India in proportion to the number of polio vaccines given.  Again, deadly NPAFP disease cannot be blamed on the parents of unvaccinated children – this shows that is clearly wrong – the polio vaccine clearly seems to be the culprit:

New Paper – Polio Vaccine – Disease Caused by Vaccine Twice As Fatal – Third World Duped – Scarce Money Wasted – Polio Eradication Impossible

BBC World News – Bill Gates’ & WHO’s Polio Eradication Plans Under Fire Today – Polio Cannot Be Eradicated & “US$ 8 Billion Spent On This Only Well Spent If We Learn Never To Do This Again”

Bill Gates Polio Eradication Plans – To Cause The Polio Equivalent of 235 Years of Cases Of A Twice As Deadly Disease

Bill Gates – Buying Immortality In History – By Beating An Already Beaten Disease & Killing Kids

9) and of course the flu vaccine in the USA does not work, so again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

New York Times – Flu Vaccine Does Not Work – Yet More Research Says

 Piers Morgan Very Sick Days After USA TV Flu Shot Stunt Backfires – Piers Told “Don’t Ever Take A Flu Shot Again”

Can You Trust Known-to-be Corrupt Governments When They Also Push Useless Flu Vaccines – US Talk Radio Dr Michael Savage On The Savage Nation January 11, 2013

10) and flu vaccine in Australia, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

Australia Bans Flu Vaccine – Child In Coma – Many Hospitalised

“Don’t give children flu jab” says chief medical officer

Australian Government Dumps On Sick Kids Injured by ‘Flu Vaccine

11) and flu vaccine in the UK, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

Now UK Recalls Another Novartis Flu Vaccine – Agrippal – Recall Follows EU and Canadian Bans of Agriflu and Fluad Flu Vaccines

New Flu Risk From Vaccine – “a very effective way to spread flu” – New Nasal Spray Vaccine

Most UK Medics Refusing Flu Vaccines – UK’s New Chief Medical Officer Resorts To Bullying

12) and flu vaccine in the EU, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

EU Flu Vaccine Bans Still Unreported – Medics Sick After Vaccine Refuse More

EU Takes Emergency Measures Over Glaxo’s ‘Flu Vaccine – Causes Narcolepsy in Children

Children Get Narcolepsy From Flu Vaccine – Confirmed in British Medical Journal

13) and flu vaccine in Canada, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

EU And Canada Flu Vaccine Ban – Not Reported By Press

14) and flu vaccine worldwide from assessment of clinical trials, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

New Study – Flu Vaccine Doesn’t Work

15) and how dangerous these flu vaccines can be – now you cannot blame parents of unvaccinated children for THAT!:

Flu Vaccine Caused 3587 US Miscarriages & Stillbirths

Flu Vaccine Cripples Healthy US Cheerleader for Life

EU Takes Emergency Measures Over Glaxo’s ‘Flu Vaccine – Causes Narcolepsy in Children

US Drug Company Released Deadly Virus In EU In Vaccine

Children Risk Untested Flu Vaccines In Hyped Pandemic

Australian Government Dumps On Sick Kids Injured by ‘Flu Vaccine

Japan’s Suspension of Recommendation for Gardasil & Cervarix HPV Vaccines for Women – Caused by Large Numbers of Unexplained Serious Adverse Reactions

For those CHS readers who may not know of the suspension of the Japanese Health Ministry’s recommendation for these vaccines last year, it was reported June 18, 2013 in Japan’s leading daily newspaper, in an in-depth article which was republished in the English-language digital version The Asahi Shimbun AJW: ANALYSIS: Experts at loss over pain from cervical cancer vaccination.

What this tells us is that throughout the western world health officials and others have managed to cow and manipulate the media to such a degree that serious health risks of drug products go unreported.  In the UK, health officials have presented formal reports containing manipulated data about such reactions including classifying some as “psychogenic” – even serious ones, which it is difficult to imagine could be: UK Drug Safety Agency Falsified Vaccine Safety Data For 6 Million.

In other words in health females have no equality.  Health officials continue to present women and girls as silly bubble-headed females who are so flighty and feckless that they make something out of nothing and do not know what is real and what is not.   

There have been cases of complex regional pain syndrome (CRPS), in which severe pain often spreads from a limb to other body parts.  In serious cases, it becomes difficult to walk or move the arms.

More than half the estimated 3.28 million vaccinated Japanese women reported symptoms ranging from a swollen or reddened inoculation site to pain and fatigue with 2,000 complaints of side effects, such as prolonged pain and numbness which includes 357 serious cases, such as difficulties in breathing or walking and convulsions.

The Health Ministry is allowing Japanese women and girls to be vaccinated at their and their families own risk.  A decision regarding reinstatement of the recommendation was anticipated within 6 months of the suspension although Ministry officials were quoted at the time as saying there was then no means to fully examine or explain the causes of the side effects.

Here are some prior CHS reports:

Girl, 13, left in ‘waking coma’ and sleeps for 23 hours a day after severe reaction to cervical cancer jabs

Gardasil Victims – In Memoriam – Healthy Young Women – Aged 15 to 21

Scientific Evidence Says Vaccinating With HPV Vaccine Is Ineffective, Dangerous For You And Your Daughters & Wrongly Promoted As “Anti-Cancer”

7 Deaths In Bill Gates Foundation Funded HPV Vaccine Trials – Trials Were “Child Abuse” Says Parliamentary Panel – India, The Hindu

“World’s Most Dangerous Vaccine” Now Being Given to British Schoolgirls

New Research Shows How Gardasil and Cervarix Vaccines Can Silently Kill Your Daughters And Sons

HPV Vaccine Questioned Internationally

Schoolgirls Are Given Toxic HPV Vaccine – Gardasil – Serious Adverse Reactions

Compulsory Childhood Vaccination Costa Rica Style – American Family Told “Sign Here Before You Can Have A Copy To Ask Your Lawyer What You Signed For Your Child”

……. and then he takes the document away so they have no copy at all.

An American family discovers Costa Rica.  Be careful where you vacation or choose to live.

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Centers for Disease Control Failure on Autism To Cost Americans US$3.84 Trillion & Using Your Tax Dollars To Do It

This is also what NBC, ABC, CNN, The Washington Post, The New York Times and mainstream journalism across the USA are costing Americans by failing to report the biggest health disaster in history and suppressing the news and evidence about the main known cause: vaccines.  This is what US Health Secretaries like the outgoing Kathleen Sebelius and the former Centers for Disease Control Director Julie Gerberding, [now Merck Vaccines Division President] and many more are costing Americans. This is what Thomas R. Insel, M.D.  Director, National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) and Chair of the Interagency Autism Coordinating Committee (IACC), The American Academy of Pediatrics and many more are costing Americans.

But worse, these people and people like them are costing 1 in 68 American children and children worldwide their health and stealing their future of normal healthy lives and blighting around 1 in 25 families in the USA and doing the same to many families around the world.

A Safeminds report CHS republishes below sets out the costs to Americans of US$3.84 trillion.

And US government health officials and agencies are using your tax dollars to achieve this epic fail.

Vote to fire them.  All of them.

If the parents of 1 in 25 families were not misled by a US media which is controlled by just 6 corporations and then used their votes come election time, they could determine the political future of the United States of America in every “swing state” in the USA and who the President of the USA is to be for maybe the next 60 years and at least for as long as the autism disaster continues.  When Obama was up for election the first time he, McCain and both Clintons were banging on the autism drum but once elected did worse than nothing, so they have got to learn that autism is not about one election.  Autism is about every election for the foreseeable future and they all need to know that election success is to depend not on future promises but past performance.

US Autism prevalence was put on the US presidential political agenda by all US presidential candidates in 2008:-

  • You do not want to bring your children into the world where we go on with the number of children who are born with autism tripling every 20 years, and nobody knows why, Bill Clinton said.  Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama returning to Oregon“  – Amy Easley and Tony Fuller, KTVZ.COM,
  • McCain steps into debate over cause of autism” – International Herald Tribune – Benedict Carey – March 4, 2008

The American President as Commander-In-Chief is failing to protect American children from the enemy within the USA.  And it is not Al Qaeda or any extremist group.  The creation of an image of muslims as a terror threat is distracting Americans from the true problems facing US internal security today.  Democracy in the USA is fading and will fade away if Americans continue to do nothing about problems like the international autism pandemic. 

Remarkable warnings were given to the American people by a President of the United States about a few corporations gaining disproportionate influence over the US Government and its agencies.  Back in 1961 from his televised valedictory address to the nation Dwight D Eisenhower warned of the rise of the military-industrial complex and the dangers it spelt for the USA and for every American.  Since that time Americans and the world have seen a parallel rise of the medical-industrial complex.  The same game – just a small number of different players, playing you, The US Congress, The US Senate and The President of The United States, all at the same time, whilst in one way or another owning or controlling the US media.   President Eisenhower in a speech he had wanted to give for two years and had to wait until the expiration of his presidential term in the middle of the 1956-1975 Vietnam War said:

In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.

We must never let the weight of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes. We should take nothing for granted. Only an alert and knowledgeable citizenry can compel the proper meshing of the huge industrial and military machinery of defense with our peaceful methods and goals, so that security and liberty may prosper together.

The following is a Safeminds Report From 13 Apr 2014 Republished by CHS.

And remember, when you want the real news, you can only get it on the web and not from the likes of CNN, ABC, NBC, The Washington Post, The New York Times and mainstream journalism.

1 in 68 is Only Part of the Autism Story — What the CDC Didn’t Report

Ten Times the Prevalence of Severe Autism over Time, But No Increase vs. 2008

By Katie Weisman, for the SafeMinds’ Research Committee
Thanks to Mark Blaxill and Cynthia Nevison, PhD for the graphs.

Introduction

On March 28th, thousands of media outlets released the new US autism prevalence numbers of 1 in 68 in 8-year-olds born in 2002 and counted in 2010.  These children are 12 years old now.  What was glaringly lacking in the media coverage was any critical thought about that actual data, any sign that reporters had actually read the new report or any sign of urgency on behalf of our children.

The CDC’s take away messages were as follows:

  • We’re reporting a 30% increase in autism in 2 years, but you don’t need to worry because these kids have always been here.  We are just better at counting than we were before.
    Comment: There has been a 37-fold increase in reported autism spectrum disorders in the past 30 years – which would be about 1984, hardly the dark ages.  Do you really believe that there were this many kids with autism around when you were young?  The prevalence was 1 in 2500 in the early 80s or .4/1000; as of this month, it is 14.7/1000.  The CDC has yet to conduct a population-based count of people with autism of all ages and severities which would lay this issue to rest.  We should all be asking why they haven’t.  They continue to say that they still can’t be sure if the increase is real – over and over again – for the past decade.
  • It looks like the kids are getting milder – they have less intellectual disability (ID) – and it’s due to broader diagnosis.
    Comment: Up until the 2006 data, the ADDM reports only stated the percentage with IQ’s below 70, which were stable (on average) in the early reports (see chart 1) but the averages masked a wide spread in the actual percentages by state.  Breakdowns into three categories of ID started in the 2008 data.   The percentage of children diagnosed with autism in the newer reports (see chart 1) is consistent with the percentage with ID in the older reports, but the CDC did not supply data on diagnostic categories in the past.  What is unclear is what is driving the change in the ID of the children.   Are we seeing children who still have autism but are less language impaired?
  • There is no possibility that autism and vaccines are connected because the numbers are still going up.
    Comment: Assuming that there is, in fact, a smaller percentage of ASD children with Intellectual Disability, those shifts do correspond to the beginning of the phase out of thimerosal in vaccines, which is a plausible explanation as well – but one CDC doesn’t mention.  Thimerosal reduction in the recommended childhood vaccine schedule (HepB, Hib and DTaP) started in 1999 and it was phased out over several years.  However, shortly thereafter, in the 2002-2003 season, the CDC started encouraging flu shots (most of which contained thimerosal) for infants 6-23 months and in the 2004-2005 flu season flu shots were formally recommended for all infants starting at 6 months of age.  Meanwhile, the CDC and ACOG also added influenza vaccines (most of which still contained thimerosal) to the recommendations for pregnant women in all trimesters in 2004.  This FDA letter makes clear that thimerosal-containing infant vaccines would still have been administered throughout 2002 – the birth year of the current ADDM report but at amounts, on average, probably less than in the 2000 birth cohort.  The exposure to any particular child is an unknown without checking their history.
  • If you are a young parent, check out our website to learn the signs of autism and talk to your pediatrician if you have concerns. Early intervention is the answer.
    Comment: Where is the interest in prevention?  This approach is letting a child fall off a cliff and then trying to catch him.  Despite the CDC’s “Learn the Signs” program, the average age of diagnosis in this report is the same as it was a decade ago in the 2000 data – about 53 months or age 4.5.  There has been no measurable progress in this area.

Preface – Limitations of the ADDM numbers:

As outlined in the SafeMinds commentary on March, 28th, there are significant limitations to the quality of the data in the ADDM network overall, which I will not repeat here.   My purpose here is to point out important data that was missed, further weaknesses in the reports and to show that there are broad questions regarding what is included and excluded that should arise from looking at the ADDM reports.  The “spin”, deletion and addition of sections and overall characterization of the reports should be questioned by all those who care about someone with autism.

The chart below is a summary of some key information from the ADDM network over the years.  It includes the number of sites included in the ADDM, the average age of first diagnosis with an autism spectrum disorder, the percentages of IQ levels as reported in ASD cases in select states (typically the states in which they have IQ data for more than 70% of the cases), the percentage breakdown of the three primary ASD diagnoses and documentation of regression data.

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Summary of Population Characteristics in the ADDM Network

Discussion of Intellectual Disability Reporting:

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the-real-story

The CDC made a big point of promoting the idea that autism prevalence is still going up while the percentage of kids without intellectual disability is rising and the raw numbers on the chart support that trend.  However, here is a quote from the 2008 report that provides a different perspective:

In the four sites with IQ test data available on at least 70% of children with ASDs in both the 2006 and 2008 surveillance years, the estimated prevalence of ASD with intellectual disability increased 12% on average (4.2–4.7 per 1,000), while the prevalence of ASD with borderline intellectual ability increased 22% (2.3–2.8 per 1,000), and the prevalence of ASD with average or above-average intellectual ability increased 13% (3.9–4.4 per 1,000).

In other words, if you actually compare apples to apples in the same 4 states, ASD with and without ID increased about the same percentage – certainly not a compelling shift between the two ends of the range and showing the importance of comparing the same states.

No Prevalence Increase in the With Intellectual Disability Subgroup

Also, notice that the “with intellectual disability” prevalence number just reported for the 2002 birth cohort is 4.7 per 1000 children, which is exactly the same as the prevalence reported for the 2000 birth cohort in the quote above, 4.7 per 1000.  It is only 12% (5.8% annualized) more than the 1998 birth cohort prevalence of 4.2 per 1000. Unfortunately, the 1992 and 1994 birth cohort reports do not give prevalence statistic for just those with ID so we cannot compare farther back.  However, the data that we do have suggests that, after a long period of annualized 8.5% increases, to get from .4/1000 to 4.7/1000, the prevalence of the most severe autism may be flattening – though at a level too high for anyone’s comfort.  It is critically important that we look at actual prevalence comparisons in subpopulations and not just at the percentages of the whole population with ASD.

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addm trends in autism

Removal of South Carolina and Alabama

This year, after being included in all previous ADDM reports, South Carolina data was not reported due to “not providing suitable data in a timely manner”.  No further explanation is given.  It seems a little unusual that an experienced team would suddenly be unable to produce the work that they had been doing for a decade.  Given that SC had the highest percentage of ID in 2008 at 54% that would have decreased the percentage disparity in the ID categories.   Also, Alabama, which despite only 10% access to education records had recorded a high percentage of ASD children with ID in the past, is not part of the current reporting.   See Chart 1B below.

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States Included in ADDM Intellectual Disability Data

 Change in States Reported Over Time for Intellectual Disability Analysis

To further complicate comparisons of intellectual disability over time, consider the above chart of which states were reported in each birth cohort.  The percentages are for those with ID.  For each birth cohort, I have indicated the percentage of intellectual disability (IQ<70) in bold if it is mentioned in the report specifically.  For some reports, the only source of a percentage is a bar graph so I have put those percentages in regular font as they are taken from the graphs with an approximate adjustment for the ratio of boys to girls in the typical cohort.  N/A in the chart means that the state was included but due to the limited nature of the 2004 report (actually an addendum to the 2006 report and issued at the same time), there was no bar graphs to pull approximate percentages from.

Note the following:

The percentage of states included in the ID analysis has varied from 50-64% of the states included for that year.

There has never been a year when the same states were included so one needs to look at “apples to apples” comparisons.

There is huge variation state to state (13-63%) in the percentage of children with ID, which has yet to be explained or investigated.  Since we are looking only at cases with ID, there should be less effect of “broader diagnosis” and these variations may reflect actual differences in severe autism due to environmental exposures.  This area is ripe for more research.

Here is the direct quote from the 2010 report:

Over the last decade, the most notable change in characteristics of children identified with ASD through the ADDM Network is the growing number who have average or above average intellectual ability. This proportion has increased consistently over time from 32% in 2002, to 38% in 2006, to 46% in 2010, or almost half of children identified with ASD. Concurrently, the proportion of children with ASD and co-occurring intellectual disability has steadily decreased from 47% in 2002, to 41% in 2006, to 31% in 2010. This shift in distribution of intellectual ability among children identified with ASD during 2002–2010 indicates that a large proportion of the observed ASD prevalence increase can be attributed to children with average or above average intellectual ability (IQ >85).

Given the above, do you feel that the CDC has accurately reported the situation?  Or is this “spin” to say the numbers are still going up, but you don’t need to worry?

Elimination of Regression Reporting

In the early years of the ADDM network, regression was reported consistently in about 13-30% of the children counted.  They also reported a plateau in development in an additional 3-10% of the cases.  The relative consistency is noteworthy (compared with much of the data reported) in the 2000, 2002 and 2006 collection years (see Chart 1). Then in the past two reports for the 2008 and 2010 data, the entire section of the study reporting regression breakdown was eliminated.  These numbers were based on actual documentation in the case files and a quote in the 2002 report states, “Therefore, these results should be considered a minimal estimate of plateau and regression among ASD cases”.  In 2009, the ADDM team did a separate study looking at regression in the network and reported the following:

This study evaluated the phenomenon of autistic regression using population-based data. The sample comprised 285 children who met the autism spectrum disorder (ASD) case definition within an ongoing surveillance program. Results indicated that children with a previously documented ASD diagnosis had higher rates of autistic regression than children who met the ASD surveillance definition but did not have a clearly documented ASD diagnosis in their records (17-26 percent of surveillance cases). Most children regressed around 24 months of age and boys were more likely to have documented regression than girls. Half of the children with regression had developmental concerns noted prior to the loss of skills. Moreover, children with autistic regression were more likely to show certain associated features, including cognitive impairment. These data indicate that some children with ASD experience a loss of skills in the first few years of life and may have a unique symptom profile.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19535466?log$=activity  Why was the reporting of regression eliminated in the most recent reports, given the finding that these children might have a “unique symptom profile”?

Timeliness of Reporting the Surveillance

In a 2007 study (Braun et al.) of the 2002 data collection, CDC made the following statement:

Although the ADDM sites participating in the 2002 surveillance year represent multiple grant cycles, the estimated time required for this surveillance year, from start of funding to reporting of results, was approximately 3–4 years. Once the surveillance system has been instituted at a site, these limitations to timeliness are greatly reduced for future surveillance years. As ADDM Network surveillance methods have evolved, the time required to make data available has decreased. Multiple surveillance years can now be conducted concurrently, and clinician review has been restructured to increase efficiency.

So, if the time to actually make the data available has decreased, why are the 2010 data only being reported in the spring of 2014?  There has been no improvement in a decade of the timeliness of the reporting of the autism surveillance.   Our children deserve better.

Where is the Study of the 4 Year-Olds?  The 2010 surveillance funding included collection of cases in 4 year olds with ASD in 6 states.  The states included are Arizona, Missouri, New Jersey, Missouri, Utah and Wisconsin.  Missouri and Wisconsin are states that don’t access education records, but this should be less of an issue in a 4 year old population since they are not school age yet.   It will be interesting to see if the South Caroline data for the 4 year-olds is included or not.  The primary question is when that data will be published.   With fewer records to collect, shouldn’t it have been published ahead of the 8 year-old numbers?

Complete Elimination of the Within State Comparisons of Prevalence

In the 2008 ADDM report, there are 3 pages looking at within state comparisons of prevalence of ASDs by sex, race and IQ.  The comparisons are done for various combinations of the 2002, 2006 and 2008 reporting years.  This entire analysis is missing from the 2010 report with no explanation given.

I have created the chart below to try to get a bird’s eye view of the ADDM prevalences over time.  At first glance, the following thoughts come to mind:

Arizona’s growth curve spiked between 2004 and 2006 and has been slowing ever since.

Arkansas’s growth curve spiked between the 2000 and 2002 birth cohorts.  What happened?

Florida’s growth curve spiked between the 1998 and 2000 birth cohorts.  More below.

Georgia’s growth curve doubled between the 2000 and 2002 birth cohorts.  This is the longest running surveillance site and has had very steady growth over time.  What changed?

Missouri’s growth curve spiked between the 1996 and 1998 birth cohorts and has come down to almost flat since then.

New Jersey’s growth curve may be flattening.  However, the fact sheet on New Jersey reports a staggering 1 in 45 children with ASD; 1 in 28 boys and 1 in 133 girls who are now 12 years old.  This was lost in the news reports.

Pennsylvania’s growth curve doubled between the 1998 and 2000 birth cohorts.

South Carolina’s growth curve had a huge spike between the 1996 and 1998 birth cohorts.

Utah reported a decrease in autism of almost 13% over the 2000 to 2002 birth cohorts.  This is the biggest drop reported in ADDM in a state with good access to records.  Yet there was no mention of it in the CDC’s press coverage.  Interestingly, all the press out of Utah reported rates as “holding steady”; none mentioned the actual drop in prevalence.

West Virginia’s growth curve was dramatic from the 1992-1994 birth cohorts but there has been no follow up for 10 years.

All of these changes suggest the possibility of environmental factors, particularly the large spikes in certain 2 year periods.  Again, more research is needed.

Chart 2 – Summary of State Prevalence Reporting in the ADDM Network – 1992-2002 Birth Cohorts

In the chart below, the shaded states do not have access to most educational records and have consistently been shown to underreport autism prevalence compared to states with access to education records.

Bolded percentages are annual percentage changes in prevalence rates.  CDC typically reports two year changes at a time so these percentages are roughly half of what the media reports.  It was necessary to do this to compare 2 year changes to 4 or 6 year changes, though these numbers will not reflect variations within the periods of time.  We would have to have annual instead of biannual collection of data to know for sure what happened in a given state.  The percentage annualized growth rates in prevalence are useful to see how the growth curves are changing in various states over time.

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stategraph

 What is going On in Florida?

In the 2008 report, there was a glaring signal that the CDC neither reported, nor followed up.   They found 211 children with ASD of which 52.9% were Hispanic (Miami Dade County).  The Hispanic prevalence rate was 8.2 per 1000 compared to a white prevalence of 4.2 per 1000.  This is the only place in the 10 years of ADDM reporting that a Hispanic rate significantly (in this case almost doubled) exceeded the white rate.  Typically, minorities are diagnosed at lower rates than white children in the same areas.  The median earliest age of ASD diagnosis was 3 years, 6 months which suggests a more severe population and is lower than the median age of first diagnosis network-wide.  The chances that this represents an autism “cluster” are strong and it should be investigated.  Florida also reported an enormous prevalence change from 2006-2008 – a 71% increase in 2 years or 31% annually – the largest 2 year change ever in the ADDM reporting.  Yet Florida was not funded for the 2010 cycle so we don’t know what happened next.

Press Involvement at the CDC and the Impact of PDD-NOS Non-Inclusion

Lastly, there is the question I found on the case status of children in the ADDM network.  A January, 2014 study (Maenner et al.) investigating the potential impact of the DSM-5, based on ADDM data, included several interesting paragraphs:

To calculate the potential impact on prevalence, we applied DSM-5ASD criteria to 2 groups of 8-year-old children under surveillance for the years 2006 and 2008: (1) the 6577 children who met both ADDM Network ASD criteria based on the DSM-IV-TR and our operationalized DSM-5ASDcriteria and (2) the 1020 children who did not meet ADDM Network ASD criteria but could plausibly meetDSM-5 criteria. These 1020 children all technically met DSM-IV-TR criteria for PDD-NOS, but the clinician reviewers did not classify them as ASD cases for surveillance purposes; for most of these children, the clinician reviewers concluded that the behaviors were better accounted for by another disorder.

 Children with a history of developmental regression were more likely to meetDSM-5ASDcriteria than those without a history (89.4% vs. 79.0%, P < .001), and children with intellectual disability were more likely to meet DSM-5ASDcriteria than children with an IQ greater than 70 (86.6%vs 82.5%, P < .001). Children with a history of regression remained more likely to meet DSM-5ASD criteria than children without a history of regression after controlling for intellectual disability.

 Since excluding cases would have a significant impact on the prevalences reported in those two years, I wrote to Dr. Maenner with questions about those children.  After a delay, I received an incomplete answer back from Dr. Maenner through the CDC press office.  I do not normally put private e-mails online, but since this one has the press office’s blessing, that e-mail exchange is available here: http://www.safeminds.org/?p=6266

This chart shows the impact on what was reported in 2006 and 2008 of including those children who met DSM-IV-TR PDD-NOS criteria but were not included as cases.

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totals

This graph shows the potential effect of the culling of PDD-NOS cases (in chart above) on the annualized growth percentages for autism.  Whether or not that culling was present in the earlier and later cohorts is a key question.  The CDC case definition has not changed over time.  Per my e-mails with the CDC, this analysis has not been done for the earlier years. I have sent the question regarding the 2002 birth cohort and I am awaiting a response.  If the culling was not done for the 2002 birth cohort, this suggests two things – that the prevalence growth curve is dropping in the latest cohorts and that the “without ID” percentages may have been bumped up in the 2002 cohort if the same ratio of PDD-NOS kids were not excluded.

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impact of pddnos

The Bottom Line

The CDC ADDM network reports raise far more questions than they answer and the changes over time make it difficult to answer even the most basic questions about what is going on with autism in the United States.  The changes in the information reported, the states included and the way results are presented to the press should all raise red flags.   If the information is accurate, then there are many opportunities for follow-up research on environmental factors that have been overlooked or ignored.

Overall, there are patterns that suggest CDC is doing its best to maintain that rates are still going up rapidly but can be explained by the inclusion of children with less intellectual disability while at the same time, arguing that vaccines (thimerosal in particular) did not play a role in this change.  The real picture has a lot more shades of gray.  It will be important to see what is happening with the 4 year olds when that data is published and to watch what is reported in 2016 based on the 2004 birth cohort, keeping in mind that the CDC already had that data in 2013, before releasing the current report.

For those interested:  All CDC ADDM reports and community reports are available here:

http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/addm.html

http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/addm-articles.html

Addendum on CDC Autism Spending:

The Centers for Disease Control show no urgency in adding more funding for autism despite their over 11 billion dollar total budget.  I have gone through the CDC budgets as far back as they are available on their website: http://www.cdc.gov/fmo/topic/budget%20Information/index.html

A line item for autism was first created in the CDC budget in 2007.  This chart shows the total autism spending to maintain the ADDM network, some additional research and the Learn the Signs program.  Note that these expenditures are part of the annual appropriations provided to the CDC and are not appropriated under the CAA.  Note that these numbers vary slightly from the CDC’s report to IACC which reports the following:  FY 2010 – $24,710,050, FY 2011 – $23,942,225 and FY 2012 – $23,348,012.  The

IACC numbers show the amount spent on autism slowly declining.  The budget reports show funding basically flat for the most recent 4 years.

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cdcspending

Even given the 1 in 68 prevalence just reported, there is no urgency around finding out what is happening in the other 38 states.  See page 370 for the CDC’s current plan to maintain only 12 ADDM sites for fiscal 2015

See page 9 for the flat 2015 budget request for autism.

Considering the Costs:

  • The costs associated with a child with autism average $17,000 per year in excess of a typical child.  That increases to $21,000 excess for a child with severe autism. Overall, the estimated societal cost of caring for children with autism was over $9 billion dollars in 2011.  (Lavalle et al. Pediatrics, 2014)
  • The lifetime cost of care for an individual on the spectrum is 3.2 million dollars. Ganz, 2007.
  • In 2005, the average annual medical costs of a Medicaid -enrolled child with autism were $10,709 – about 6 times higher than a child without autism.  Peacock, et al.  J. of Developmental Behavioral Pediatrics, 2012.
  • In addition to medical costs, behavioral intervention for a child with autism can cost $40,000-$60,000 per year.  Amendah, et al., Autism Spectrum Disorders, Oxford University Press 2011.

To put this whole thing in perspective, the cost of monitoring the other 36 states that have never been monitored should be about quadruple the current CDC budget or $92 million dollars.  That would cost about $76 per individual under 21.  However, if you use the Ganz number multiplied by 1.2 million children (not counting adults) then the overall lifetime cost to society of those children is $3,840,000,000,000 – 3.84 trillion dollars.  It seems like a small price to pay to get a handle on the problem

Congressman “CDC Should Be Investigated” – US Centers for Disease Control Vaccine Safety Corruption Compared to Bernie Madoff

Congressman Bill Posey Has Strong Words for Government Agency. Concludes: “I think the CDC Should Be Investigated.”

U.S. Congressman Compares Corruption in CDC’s Vaccine Safety Studies to SEC’s Handling of Bernie Madoff Scandal

Ever Continuing Worldwide Vaccine Failures – Australia Joins UK & USA In the Whooping Cough Vaccine Fail Club [Again]

Just a “quickie”.  Whooping cough [pertussis] vaccine is not working in Australia according to this report published in The Sidney Morning Herald:  Whooping cough vaccine loses its effectiveness April 14, 2014 Lucy Carroll Health Reporter.

And read on if you want examples to show incompetent journalists they are just plain dumb to fall for the false explanation that the parents of unvaccinated children are to blame for the circulation of  childhood diseases. Here you can find links to mainstream sources revealing how the vaccinated are catching and passing on these ages old basic childhood diseases.

And if you want someone to blame, that is the easy bit.  The reason we do not have effective treatments for these diseases are firstly those incompetent health and science journalists or editors who have not made sure they embarrassed the hell out of government health officials [but suck up to them instead].  Then we have the medical professions.  The egos of some of them are huge [but not big enough to see through the haze of pseudo-scientific junk science they have surrounded themselves with about vaccines].  They shelved development of effective treatments in favour of vaccines, swallowing all the mumbo-jumbo pseudo-science.  And next to them we have government health officials to blame. 

That is the “who is to blame”. And what is the “what” that is to blame?  Easy.  Its vaccines, but more and over all that it is the classic example of the wonders of “science” being screwed up by the wonders of scientists, as seen so many times with things like nuclear power, pesticides and all manner of harmful applications of “science” by “scientists”.

So to Australia’s ineffective whooping cough vaccine we can add:

1) the UK.  And the USA [where in California over 80% of cases were in the fully vaccinated]:

Whooping Cough Vaccine – Doesn’t Work – GSK Says “We Never Bothered to Check”

2) CHS’ previous 2012 report of the record-breaking 5 year whooping cough epidemic in Australia:

Major Whooping Cough Epidemics – Vaccine Not Working

3) the US FDA’s own research findings that the whooping cough vaccine does not stop the disease spreading, with no effective herd immunity. [Although that does not stop the vaccine lobby and incompetent journalists blaming the transmission of naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong]:

Whooping Cough Vaccine Does Not Work – Says US FDA’s Research

And

4) we might as well throw in measles with the failing MMR vaccine in the USA which is also the same one used for years in the UK since 1994: Merck’s MMR II.  And again this shows that measles can be caught and transmitted by fully vaccinated individuals to other fully vaccinated individuals – these are not the unvaccinated but the fully vaccinated, showing it is clearly wrong to blame naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong:

US MMR Measles Vaccine Failing – Vaccinated New Yorker Causes Measles Outbreak In Other Vaccinated New Yorkers – Not Caused By Unvaccinated Children

5) and we also add the failing mumps vaccine in Holland [Netherland], where of course as vaccinated individuals catch mumps and pass it on to other vaccinated individuals, you should now be realising that it is fairly dumb to blame naturally occurring diseases on the parents of unvaccinated children – when that is clearly wrong:

Epidemic of Mumps among Vaccinated Persons, the Netherlands, 2009–2012

6) and the mumps failure was also already happening back in 2005/6 in the UK:

Government Risks Male Sterility As Mumps Vaccine Fails

7) and then there is the smallpox vaccine which never worked anyway [unless killing the recipient counts, as it was pretty good at that]:

Smallpox Eradication – One of History’s Biggest Lies & How Vaccination Did Not Eradicate Smallpox

Small Pox – Big Lie – Bioterrorism Implications of Flawed Theories of Eradication

8) and then there is the polio eradication which cost India US$8 billion and in just one year 47,500 cases of what was probably called polio back in the 1940s and 1950s, namely what is now called non polio acute flaccid paralysis [NPAFP].   NPAFP is twice as deadly as polio and bizarrely clinically indistinguishable  from polio and occurred in India in proportion to the number of polio vaccines given.  Again, deadly NPAFP disease cannot be blamed on the parents of unvaccinated children – this shows that is clearly wrong – the polio vaccine clearly seems to be the culprit:

New Paper – Polio Vaccine – Disease Caused by Vaccine Twice As Fatal – Third World Duped – Scarce Money Wasted – Polio Eradication Impossible

BBC World News – Bill Gates’ & WHO’s Polio Eradication Plans Under Fire Today – Polio Cannot Be Eradicated & “US$ 8 Billion Spent On This Only Well Spent If We Learn Never To Do This Again”

Bill Gates Polio Eradication Plans – To Cause The Polio Equivalent of 235 Years of Cases Of A Twice As Deadly Disease

Bill Gates – Buying Immortality In History – By Beating An Already Beaten Disease & Killing Kids

9) and of course the flu vaccine in the USA does not work, so again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

New York Times – Flu Vaccine Does Not Work – Yet More Research Says

 Piers Morgan Very Sick Days After USA TV Flu Shot Stunt Backfires – Piers Told “Don’t Ever Take A Flu Shot Again”

Can You Trust Known-to-be Corrupt Governments When They Also Push Useless Flu Vaccines – US Talk Radio Dr Michael Savage On The Savage Nation January 11, 2013

10) and flu vaccine in Australia, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

Australia Bans Flu Vaccine – Child In Coma – Many Hospitalised

“Don’t give children flu jab” says chief medical officer

Australian Government Dumps On Sick Kids Injured by ‘Flu Vaccine

11) and flu vaccine in the UK, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

Now UK Recalls Another Novartis Flu Vaccine – Agrippal – Recall Follows EU and Canadian Bans of Agriflu and Fluad Flu Vaccines

New Flu Risk From Vaccine – “a very effective way to spread flu” – New Nasal Spray Vaccine

Most UK Medics Refusing Flu Vaccines – UK’s New Chief Medical Officer Resorts To Bullying

12) and flu vaccine in the EU, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

EU Flu Vaccine Bans Still Unreported – Medics Sick After Vaccine Refuse More

EU Takes Emergency Measures Over Glaxo’s ‘Flu Vaccine – Causes Narcolepsy in Children

Children Get Narcolepsy From Flu Vaccine – Confirmed in British Medical Journal

13) and flu vaccine in Canada, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

EU And Canada Flu Vaccine Ban – Not Reported By Press

14) and flu vaccine worldwide from assessment of clinical trials, where it is again pointless blaming parents of unvaccinated children for the flu:

New Study – Flu Vaccine Doesn’t Work

15) and how dangerous these flu vaccines can be – now you cannot blame parents of unvaccinated children for THAT!:

Flu Vaccine Caused 3587 US Miscarriages & Stillbirths

Flu Vaccine Cripples Healthy US Cheerleader for Life

EU Takes Emergency Measures Over Glaxo’s ‘Flu Vaccine – Causes Narcolepsy in Children

US Drug Company Released Deadly Virus In EU In Vaccine

Children Risk Untested Flu Vaccines In Hyped Pandemic

Australian Government Dumps On Sick Kids Injured by ‘Flu Vaccine

How to Fool a Health and Science Journalist About Health Fraud? Give the Story to Tom Chivers of UK’s The Telegraph newspaper

Hey, wanna good laugh?  Its always the oldest and best known and loved tricks which work on the greenest of newbies. 

Q) How to keep a moron occupied?  A) Give him a sheet of paper with “please turn over” written on both sides.

Q) Hey Tom, d’ya know how to keep a moron in suspense for seven days?  A) We’ll tell ya next week. 

Q) How to get a journalist to write a crap story?  A) Give it to Tom Chivers headed “BMJ” or “Department of Health”.

Maybe its time bloggers took down a peg or two some of the mainstream journalists who take themselves “oh-so-seriously” as important opinion formers in the mainstream media but churn out a daily diet of junk stories about health and science, in the delusion they are behaving with the due care of a professional.

In his piece on Friday in the Telegraph’s print edition entitled “Why weren’t we told Tamiflu didn’t work” Tom wrote one of the sucky type of pieces many of the health and science journalists are writing about right now: how dreadful it is that the UK Government spent US$600 billion stockpiling the near useless snake-oil flu treatment, Tamiflu, supplied by drug giant Roche’s roaches to lighten the wallets of British tax-payers. We emphasise many because it is not just Tom. 

Tom goes on in his piece about how everyone was fooled.  Strangely for an opinion piece he nowhere mentions it looks like yet another massive drug industry fraud, with Roche holding back 20 or so scientific studies showing Tamiflu is a crap drug which is worthless.  Why so shy Tom?  This was a drug which was supposed to save millions from dying horrible deaths in a swine flu pandemic which only later turned out to be a fake, hyped by Professor David Salisbury’s World Health Organisation Committee and started by one of his subcommittee members alleged to have also been solely responsible for starting and financially benefiting from the previous SARS and Bird Flu scams. 

Tom also has not questioned why Inspector Plodder of New Scotland Yard has not been called in to investigate this as a potential fraud. Maybe that has something to do with Government and establishment figures in the medical professions not wanting to upset the freebies and other benefits streaming out of drug companies like Roche and GSK.  [And it was UK£600 million not billion – and if you had not noticed our deliberate error, then look at how easy it is for journalists like Tom to fool you by not checking his facts and getting it wrong.  £600m is roughly US$840m.]

Actually, Tom really believes that what Roche’s roaches did is legal quoting totally uncritically his journalistic colleague Dr Ben Goldacre: “Roche broke no law by withholding vital information on how well its drug works“.  Yeah, well Ben, they don’t break the law breathing either, but its the laws they did break we are interested in, thanks all the same, like potential fraud worth US$840m. A drug was sold on the basis it worked but it was not as safe as it should have been and did not work as it should have and Roche had the data showing that when they were selling the drug and withheld it when people wanted to check and whilst the UK Government was still buying the drug.

Tom, what are you?  Because “journalist” does not come close, does it? Be honest with yourself, it just does not cut it.

The reason Roche got away with this fraudulent behaviour is because one too many “professional” “health” and “science” “journalists” like Tom let them [and a company Tom also wrote about withholding trial data for its flu drug Relenza, is GSK].  These journalists don’t do the job their readers need them to.  Too many journalists lap up the spilt cream dropped for them by the media relations staff of health departments, medical associations, journals and drug companies without looking too carefully, maybe just in case no one in future spills a bit of cream for them, if they did look carefully.

In short, people like Tom let down the people, their readers who buy newpapers, papers filled daily with misleading scribblings and rants.  People like Tom look like they don’t – look that is.  Its not convenient if they and their editors just want to fill the column inches with seeming reliable news, and won’t care too much because tomorrow its wrapping your fish and chip supper and they need to pay their mortgages.

Now what we want to focus on today, is what Tom opened up with in his piece on Friday, because it seems to us over here at CHS that if he were really a professional and if he were really a journalist and not play-acting, he might have looked and then should have known the truth instead of regurgitating crap.  And in this case it looks like that includes crap the BBC also regurgitated on their website without checking.  Children who might have aspired to important jobs, like being an engine-driver, may end up instead in the dumbed-down dead-end journalism is rapidly becoming.

Tom wrote:

Flu is actually a pretty nasty disease.  People say they’ve got ‘the flu’ when they’ve only got a cold, but a genuine bout of influenza knocks you off your feet for several days and is a major killer of the elderly: an outbreak in 2011 killed about 600 people.”

This is crap.  But Tom does not realise it is crap because he has not checked his facts.  And were he a professional journalist, he would have known from plenty of information published over many years that would have ensured he had the information easily to hand to make sure he did not write crap every time a flu story comes up.  Some people get flu and some never do.  Some who get it are asymptomatic and some have symptoms.  But that is not the main reason why it is crap.

Tom should also have known to be more careful and that the UK Department of Health and Health Protection Agency for years were hyping the flu stats, just like the US Centers for Disease Control [CDC] does.  In short if Tom were professional he would have known The UK Department of Health lied about flu deaths.  Why should he have known?  Because they were caught.  But they were not just caught lying but were caught telling a very very big one.  Huge.  CHS covered it here: UK Fakes Flu Death Numbers  So if CHS knew, then Tom should have and he should have been very sceptical of any Government figures, even sensible-looking figures.

The UK Department of Health claimed 12,000 annual flu deaths when the average was 33.  If a Boeing or Airbus passenger plane fell out of the sky killing 300, the way the figures were worked out, those would be counted as flu deaths.  For comparison, the US CDC claimed 36,000 flu deaths annually. 

It was in fact enormous enough to be a major British news story but Tom did not cover it and neither did most if not all of the other “health” and “science” writers who describe themselves as “professional” and “journalists“.  And if Tom had covered it, then he might not have written the crap we quote above and we might not have been able to describe what he writes as crap [but don’t hold your breath as Tom never was a journalist we have ever rated and just have not paid enough attention to the quality of his other scribbles. That is something which may need attention in future].

As recently as 2012 even the UK’s Press Association were as competent as Tom writing “Around 4,700 people die every year in England after getting flu, a Department of Health spokeswoman said.: British Press Association Publishes Known-To-Be-False UK Government Flu Death Figures – In A Story To Promote Known-To-Be-Ineffective ‘Flu Vaccines To UK Elderly.

Oh, but Tom only wrote there were 600 deaths and not 12,000 or even 4,700. So what is wrong with that?  Plenty.  As you will see above the average in previous years was 33 flu deaths.  And with around 600,000 to 700,000 deaths from everything every year, 33 deaths is small beer and nothing to get worked up about [unless you are a close relative of the deceased, which is also a very small number in the big scheme of life].

But is it worse, because had Tom checked up he should have made clear that the vast majority of people are not at risk, but he wrote “Flu is actually a pretty nasty disease. People say they’ve got ‘the flu’ when they’ve only got a cold, but .. genuine … influenza ….. is a major killer ….. in 2011 killed about 600 people.”  Tom wrote as if anyone getting a bout of flu could die and that is totally false and misleading, but he did not qualify it. 

That is Tom’s crap.  But the consumate professional he is, Tom did not stop with just that crap.  There is more.

Tom failed to mention, to put the risk into perspective, that around 600,000 to 700,000 people die every year in the UK and many more from fires, road accidents, other chronic conditions than from flu. In short, Tom failed to make clear the problem for ordinary healthy people is so miniscule as to be practically an irrelevance compared to all the other risks people face every day.

And the 6oo deaths Tom Chivers claimed in winter 2010/2011 were not of deaths caused by flu.  They were deaths with laboratory confirmed influenza, which is claimed as contributing to the death, but not as being the cause.  Moreover, as that shows, the highest mortality in this 600 deaths was not in healthy people at all.  It was in patients with underlying chronic conditions, namely immunosuppression followed by patients with underlying liver disease and patients with neurological disease: Surveillance of influenza and other respiratory viruses in the UK 2010-2011 report HPA. 

In short, most deaths were in people who could have died from anything at any time, and it was not claimed that it was the flu that killed them.

So its not just one bit of crap from Tom.  Nope, Tom has served up a real triple chocolate triple decker crap cookie sandwich and all in one short supposedly newsy science and health comment piece.  The Telegraph used to be such a good paper too.

In our view Tom’s piece on Friday makes him look like one of the new school journalists, who is delighted to be given “opinion-former” stories on a plate, to make him look important and informed so he can churn them out with abandon and with the minimum of thought and care, to fill his daily quota of column inches.  And judging from his photo, he looks like he has recently left school, and to us writes as if that was before he should have sat his GCSE exams [but make your own mind up – that is author bias just us employing dramatic licence].

And sniffy Broadsheet journalists are happy to let their journalism colleagues at the Daily Mail be denigrated, when they are just as guilty and all the Daily Mail do is report on a peer reviewed journal news release on the latest published journal study which one week claims green berry juice cures flatulence, another week boredom and another that is does nothing.  They all do it to one degree or another, but the Daily Mail outsells them by a million copies or three daily, which is not a sniffy matter.

Tom writing in the UK’s Telegraph newspaper in his own words claims to write mainly on science.  “Claims” you should focus on but worth noting as well is what Tom thinks the word “mainly” means and also what Tom seems to think qualifies as “science“.  Tom’s judgement needs to be questioned, as does also his fact-checking and professionalism.  [Tom’s pieces are also inset with an “I’m an oh-so-important-journalist” photo, that cracks us up here.]

Poor old Tom is not just a journalist.  Tom is an Editor!!  Thankfully not “The” editor, [not yet at least, but the way mainstream journalism is going, you won’t have to hold your breath too long for that].  Fortunately many reliable sites are now on the web for you to read and are making up for the shortcomings of some who make up the not-so-professional mainstream media].  Actually Tom is “Comment Editor“, which is in the second division of online – a bit like being a Second Assistant Tea Stirrer’s Mate, so let’s not worry you too much.

Interestingly, someone else has Tom down as #50 in the 100 worst people on twitter and someone else wrote [our emphasis] “I’ve re-read an old column by Tom Chivers, the Telegraph’s assistant comment editor (a job title I would not have thought existed)“.

If we look like we are being a bit hard on Tom, be wise to this: it is not simply a mistake by a conscientious professional journalist but a failure of a journalist in doing the basics and getting basic facts right.  And just remember this: if it were you, he and his media mates would rip you apart in print unforgivingly like the press do to people daily.

Tom Chivers misled all his readers. Grow up Tom and be a professional or get a job driving a van.

US MMR Measles Vaccine Failing – Vaccinated New Yorker Causes Measles Outbreak In Other Vaccinated New Yorkers – Not Caused By Unvaccinated Children

Well, its not like we didn’t tell you.  And regular CHS readers know to expect it.  But this time – its different. And we are going to tell you why.

U.S. Navy photo by Photographer’s Mate 2nd Class Felix Garza Jr. (RELEASED). This Image was released by the United States Navy with the ID 030106-N-4142G-003

If you really want to drive the vaccine movement up the wall, show them a study showing a vaccine does not work.  If there’s one thing the vaccine movement hate having pointed out to them, it’s when their hallowed worshipped omnipotent symbol of “all-that-is-and-ever-will-be good about medicine, bless its name” the vaccine filled syringe and needle, just plain “ain’t up to the job” and “don’t work“.

And we have got one to show you.  What is different this time is the mainstream are having to admit it is true, vaccines are failing, but trying to excuse it and still blame people who are unvaccinated – it is truly bizarre.

The American Association for the Advancement of Science has a publication called “Science” which publishes online “Science News“.  Science News ran this story: Measles Outbreak Traced to Fully Vaccinated Patient for First Time 11 April 2014, reporting a recent study published in the journal Clinical Infectious Diseases [Outbreak of Measles Among Persons With Prior Evidence of Immunity, New York City, 2011“] writing:

Measles vaccination rates top 90% in high-density cities like New York, but new data suggest even the immunized can catch and spread the disease.  A person fully vaccinated against measles has contracted the disease and passed it on to others. The startling case study contradicts received wisdom about the vaccine and …. could mean more illnesses even among the vaccinated.  ….. she transmitted the measles to four other people, ….. two of the secondary patients had been fully vaccinated. And … the other two ….. both showed signs of previous measles exposure that should have conferred immunity.

Although public health officials have assumed that measles immunity lasts forever, the case … highlights the reality that “the actual duration [of immunity] following infection or vaccination is unclear,” says Jennifer Rosen, …. at the New York City Bureau of Immunization. ….. she says that more regular surveillance to assess the strength of people’s measles immunity is warranted.

If it turns out that vaccinated people lose their immunity as they get older, that could leave them vulnerable to measles outbreaks seeded by unvaccinated people …. Robert Jacobson, director of clinical studies for the Mayo Clinic’s Vaccine Research Group in Rochester, Minnesota, ….. says, “The most important ‘vaccine failure’ with measles happens when people refuse the vaccine in the first place.”

So let’s get this clear, the first mass public measles vaccine programme was rolled out in the USA with the exciting announcement that in 1967, yes just the one yearMeasles was to be eradicated” [and in fact less as the announcement was in March 1967].

Wow!! How amazing.

All doctors in the USA were told in 1967 that measles was to be eradicated in just that year alone with the measles vaccine.  This was in a formally published statement “EPIDEMIOLOGIC BASIS FOR ERADICATION OF MEASLES IN 1967 A Statement By the Public Health Service” by David J. Sencer, M.D., H. Bruce Dull, M.D., Alexander D. Langmuir, M.D. PHR Vol. 82, No. 3, March 1967 253.#

This was going to lead to a “one-shot one kill” measles eradication for life for every man, woman and child in the world.

It failed.

They kept on with different vaccines during the 1970s.

They failed, and failed again.

In 1984 they tried again, rolling out vaccination drives in the USA but this time with the MMR vaccine and this was followed in many other countries in the mid-late 1980s.

This failed.  One shot was not enough.

They tried two shots. So all children got a second MMR shot.

And now this paper shows that is failing as a well, with the prospect of telling adults they need regular boosters.  But if that happens with the MMR vaccine, then it is going to happen with all other vaccines eventually as it must.  Pregnant women are already being given whooping cough vaccine.  Everyone is being pressed to have an annual flu vaccine. It will happen for chicken-pox vaccine and many more.

That is a 51 year history of failure.  But it is still the unvaccinated who are to blame according to these fanatics.  These people are like small children losing a game who accuse the winner of cheating, throwing all their toys out of the baby buggy.  But the winners are not winners but American children the CDC harms daily. 

American children and children worldwide have developed autistic conditions in their millions with the amazing figure of around 1 family in every 25 in the USA with an affected child thanks to the CDC Director and employees.  That is vastly higher than pretty much anything else put together including the diseases the vaccines are alleged to protect against.  Of course they claim that vaccines don’t cause autism. “Its a mystery” they say but bizarrely the one thing they are sure of “its not vaccines“, even when it has been confirmed in the past that vaccines can and by leading health officials and agencies through gritted teeth when publicly embarrassed by media attention: Vaccination Causes Autism – Say US Government & Merck’s Director of Vaccines.

So when the rare paper comes along which tells some of the truth like the one we report here, notice needs to be taken.

CHS readers know its not news that there are frequent outbreaks of measles, mumps, whooping cough and other routine childhood diseases in highly vaccinated populations all the time.

Last year in the UK health authorities distracted the world blaming the unvaccinated in South Wales for measles outbreaks.  What they were really doing was hiding the figures showing large outbreaks in the 90%+ and 95%+ highly vaccinated in the North of England.  The BBC, which was tamed by Tony Blair’s proven dishonest Iraq War Government, and which saw its Director-General Greg Dyke kicked out for doing his job showing up Blair’s Government, has truly turned into the British Establishment’s “Pravda”.  It did a great job as the lap dog of the Department of Health fobbing off the North of England outbreaks in the highly MMR vaccinated population.  Breathtakingly intellectually dishonestly the BBC dismissed the problem in two words: “bad luck“.  But wasted no time but many words and plenty of broadcast resources with repeated reports over months blaming the outbreaks hundreds of miles away in South Wales on a small minority of unvaccinated individuals with the “don’t look here, look there” news reporting style of the propagandist genre of agenda journalism.

And it is not children doing this but adults.  So its time to tell the CDC, its Director and all its pointless employees who waste your tax dollars: “Grow Up” and stop harming and killing American kids with your failed pseudo-science mumbo-jumbo. And it is time to demand of your politicians to ensure some jail time for the employees.  Are they any better than the Taliban?  One thing you can be certain of, it will only ever be the minions who go down and not the big players – they will be protected, but at least someone will go to jail.

And these people should be publicly scorned and disgraced so they can never hold their heads up or walk among you with pride or honour.

So when is the US Centers for Disease Control going to do the decent thing and develop a proper treatment for measles and end its insane love-affair with the failing vaccine policy?  Millions of third world children die every year from measles despite the vaccines and because they are malnourished and do not have decent sanitation and clean water to drink.  Those are lives that could be saved if an effective treatment for measles existed.

Unfortunately, the CDC will never do this.

To put it bluntly, one too many a health official including one too many in the US CDC need to pay their mortgages.  They need to make everyone see disease around every corner, and then make believe they are controlling and fixing the problem.  The CDC was officially castigated by the US Senate in an official report CDC Off Centeras an agency which “cannot demonstrate it is controlling disease“  but which was managing to spend US$11 billion in tax dollars every year not doing what even its name says it is supposed to – Center for Disease Control.  That made no difference.  The CDC is unrepentant and unchanged and above all, never, ever, wrong. Its more of the same.  Many more vaccines for many more people many more times.

And if you never cross the road you never risk being run down crossing the road.  The more times you do it the more chances there are for you to get run down.  And every time you get a vaccine you have a risk of an adverse reaction, so that the alleged rare reactions [which are much more common but not reported, acknowledged and mostly denied thanks to the CDC Director and employees] will become even more common and probably just as much if not more unacknowledged or more likely denied.

Sure, there are a few in the vaccine movement who openly admit sometimes, but “only-very-rarely-you-understand” a vaccine here and there won’t work and are even proud of seeming to be honest about it. But this time it is not just a “little bit” even though most of them hate to be shown to be even a tiny bit wrong.  Their egos won’t allow it.  Its why they run with the pack, seeing and seeking safety in numbers as if their motto was “sure flies eat crap but 10 billion of them can’t be that wrong“.

They often claim society frowns upon parents who do not vaccinate, saying it is as well it does and, ignoring all concerns about real vaccine hazards, go on to accuse them mantra-like of being dreaded “antivaccinationists“, responsible for outbreaks of the potentially omnipresent “vaccine-preventable disease” when they are just parents worried for their kids, [which is understandable with all the lies they get told about vaccines by people they ought to be able to trust but can’t]. 

Some devotees of the UK’s Dr Ben Goldacre, who congregate on his BadScience Forum set up for that purpose, go on to attack, harass and abuse anyone across the web who might point out anything critical of any aspect of vaccines as being weak-minded.  Some go to enormous lengths, even setting up and running anonymous and quasi-anonymous attack blogs across the internet dedicated to the purpose.

Many vaccine activists have really convinced themselves all vaccines are safe and effective and “one-size-fits-all” is a safe vaccine policy. They’re wrong, of course, but that doesn’t make them any less true believers.

Of course, it’s not easy to put the lie to the claims.  For one thing it is difficult to prove a vaccine caused injury and these fanatics know that.  And any figures are heavily underplayed and never adjusted for under-reporting, making those nice tables comparing diseases to vaccine reactions useless.  It is necessary to multiply the figures given out by at least 50 times for any adverse drug reactions as a rule of thumb as adverse reactions to all drugs are ignored 98 times out of a hundred: Spontaneous adverse drug reaction reporting vs event monitoring: a comparison: Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine Volume 84 June 1991 341.

Some in the vaccine movement really believe they are doing good as they do evil. Part of the reason that they believe that they’re doing good is because they manage to convince themselves that they are not actually causing harm but rather promoting the “greater good”, whilst keeping quiet about the extent of “collateral damage” with the “benefits outweigh the risks” gambit.  That avoids openly stating it and instead obliquely means the very seriously injured children of the unlucky parents who did believe, vaccinated and paid the price with their children’s lives and health.  So they aren’t the “antivaccinationists” they are accused of being at all.  They believed too, vaccinated and paid the price, a terrible, heavy and most dreadful price watching their child pay for their mistake in believing that what they are told is medical science is science when too much of it is either just plain woo or hype to sell drug products or to bill them for another physician appointment.

And then there is also hardly a medical school, academic, student,  or professional whose medical education or livelihood is not in some way paid for by the seeming generosity and largesse of those nice clean-cut drug company professionals.  And then there are all those government officials who are helped daily with assistance from the same kinds of folk.  And when having your journal paper published, or issuing some official government communique, do you saw off the branch you are sitting on by criticising or outright attacking the hands that feed?  Nope. 

The only people who can do that are powerful journals of the medical professions, like the British Medical Association’s journal which through advertising controls the drug industry’s access to their million or so worldwide subscribers and readers.  Occasionally but only just occasionally the BMJ will “kick-butt”.  That however is only when some drug industry scam or other has embarrassed them and their members and shown one too many of them to be incompetent and unprofessional in failing in their duties to their patients.  And this  because they lapped up the drug industry hype and neither questioned nor noticed the snake-oil treatments they freely prescribed, promoted or advertised are in fact useless or dangerous, like the totally useless Tamiflu, or outright killers like Vioxx.  They have no choice but to “kick-butt” against a steady loss of public confidence in mainstream medical professionals, with many patients turning away to alternatives instead.  Their appearing to “butt-kick” gives them the fig-leaf of claiming “see, we are not in bed with the drug industry” and pretending to look like they are 100% on the patient’s side, when not. 

It is only this plain when it is explained and pointed out what is going on.  One too many of these people cannot be trusted, and their emblem of entwined snakes is in this context fitting, from the Rod of Asclepius and the winged version: caduceus.

Snake Oil Salesmen

Cadeuceus. This is a file from the Wikimedia Commons. 26 March 2006 Source Drawing by Rama. Vectorized with Inkscape by Eliot Lash.

And then there are the cranks, quacks, and pseudoscientists that CHS has encountered over the years.  Of them there are a few who belong in the “elite” ranks of the crankosphere. They stick out through their sheer crankitude across a spectrum, sheer persistence obsessing on one subject, or for promoting quackery as science on vaccine movement crank blogs.

One of these elite few, however, does something that’s very useful to medical quacks everywhere, distorting scientific studies to make it seem as though theirs is a superior quasi-scientific intellect whilst promoting junk as if scientific in memes, as exposed here, overrunning Facebook and Twitter with seeming convincing pseudo-science.

In fact, his is one of a specific group of buddies-in-woo forming a small clique who run an entire website whose sole purpose has come to look to us much like it is to spin studies.  Theirs is the “one true faith” and all else is mumbo-jumbo heresy against their omnipotent all-knowing oracles, spinning pseudoscience and quackery as science and then, of course, spinning scientific studies that do not agree with them as pseudoscience and quackery.

If the crankosphere can have a crème de la crème, an elite of the bottom-feeders of the pseudo-scientific blogosphere, it has to be the world’s true favourite crankist blogs of Dr David Gorski at Science Blogs dot com, along with his writings under the Orac pen name with the Respectful Insolence blog (whose best attempt at a witty “literary” quote and by-line is “A statement of fact cannot be insolent” from the world’s all-time most truly excruciating and badly written and produced “sci-fi nerds dream” 1970s British TV show “Blake’s 7“).

Well, we cannot wait, like the anticipation of a first Christmas, for wee Davy Gorski to blog about a very new just-published study.

But small mercies – what entertainment will Gorski spin up for us all over this new paper?  It will be crap but it will be elite crap.  It will be the crap of all crap.  Roll it out Davy, we’re all waiting.

“Vaccines Saved Us” – Intellectual Dishonesty At Its Most Naked

If there’s one thing about the drug industry backed vaccine movement CHS has learned over the last several years, it’s that it’s almost completely immune to evidence, science, and reason.

No matter how much evidence is arrayed against it, there are those among its spokespeople who always find a way to spin, distort, or misrepresent the evidence to combat it and not have to give up the concept that vaccines don’t cause autism. “Its a mystery” but bizarrely the one thing they are are sure of “its not vaccines“, even when this has been confirmed in the past by leading health officials and agencies through gritted teeth when publicly embarrassed by media attention: Vaccination Causes Autism – Say US Government & Merck’s Director of Vaccines.

Not that this is any news to readers of this blog, but it bears repeating often. It also bears repeating and emphasizing examples of just the sort of disingenuous and even outright deceptive techniques used by promoters of vaccine pseudoscience to sow fear and doubt among parents. These arguments may seem persuasive to those who have little knowledge about science or epidemiology. Sometimes they even seemed somewhat persuasive to us; that is, at least until we actually took the time to look into them.

One example of such a myth is the claim that “vaccines save millions of lives” also sometimes going under the claim that “vaccines are safe and effective.”  Now this is something health officials and health departments started, with their shroud-waving tactics threatening parents their children would die without vaccines.  But what has happened instead is children develop autistic conditions in their millions with the amazing figure of around 1 family in every 25 in the USA with an affected child.  That is vastly higher than pretty much anything else put together including the diseases the vaccines are alleged to protect against.

These people ignore completely and disparage evidence like that on sites which have large sets of graphs showing that the death rates of several vaccine-preventable diseases, including whooping cough, diptheria, measles, and polio were falling before the vaccines for each disease were introduced. Pretending to be scientific the vaccine movement disparage and criticise articles having quotes like the one from Andrew Weil in his book Health and Healing:

Scientific medicine has taken credit it does not deserve for some advances in health. Most people believe that victory over the infectious diseases of the last century came with the invention of immunisations. In fact, cholera, typhoid, tetanus, diphtheria and whooping cough, etc, were in decline before vaccines for them became available – the result of better methods of sanitation, sewage disposal, and distribution of food and water.

A well-known US stand-up comedian, television host, political commentator, satirist, author, and actor, Bill Maher has said similar things about vaccines.  The vaccine movement complain that “vaccines didn’t save us” is a gambit and has become a staple of vaccine safety websites. They complain vehemently when for example, people they describe as “ignorant bloggers” write:

The mythology surrounding vaccines is still pervasive, the majority of the population still believes, in faith like fashion, that vaccines are the first line of defense against disease. The true story is that nutrition and psychological/emotional health are the first line of defense against disease.

Vaccines are a concoction of chemical adjuvants and preservatives coupled with virus fragments and have clearly been implicated in the astounding rise in neurological disorders around the world, yet the ‘popular’ media has embedded itself as a spokesperson for the pharmaceutical cartel and simply does not report in any responsible way the real situation.

Gorski and the vaccine movement call it the “toxins” gambit.  At risk of exposure for absolute intellectual dishonesty, they are forced to concede that of course, it is true that better sanitation is a good thing.  They concede it has decreased the rate of transmission of some diseases.  Sanitation can do this, with many infectious diseases being transmitted person-to-person through the air from aerosolized drops of saliva from coughs and sneezes or from being deposited on objects that people touch frequently, like doorknobs and suchlike.

They claim “vaccines didn’t save us” is a mere strategy and a distortion. They allege the best way to demonstrate this is to go on to the very first website that currently shows up on a Google search for “vaccines didn’t save us.” And guess what?  You will end up here on CHS.

And who is the main crank spreading the claim it is a lie?  None other than the internet’s crankiest of medical crank doctor bloggers, Dr David Gorski over at Science Blogs dot com and as ORAC on his “Respectful Insolence” blog.  He originally directed his comments to another site’s page entitled Proof That Vaccines Didn’t Save Us, claiming it’s “one of the most breathtakingly spectacularly intellectually dishonest bits of anti-vaccine propaganda” that he’s ever seen. 

Well of course for Dr David Gorski, he almost always seems to say that or something like it.  No matter what he previously commented on, the one he comments on next is the “most“, its “breathtakingly“, or “spectacularly” intellectually dishonest, pretty much no matter what he writes about. 

The formula Gorski uses in his inane prattling is lapped up by his devoted followers, who like small dogs around his ankles jump up and down yapping for attention in subservient comments on his posts.

We say this not because Gorski uses a common distortion, but rather because he ups the ante every time with his primeval urges to make generous use of hyperbole, adding them with abandon to his disparaging writings.

Gorski’s distortions are hidden in plain sight, too, which is why he should have props for sheer chutzpah.

Actually, we have to give Gorski some backhanded kudos for how he always manages to devise some disparagement to represent the classic vaccine movement lies.  This he combines with some very clever cherry picking. We won’t take them all on in this post. Maybe we’ll take some of them on in a future post. In the meantime, what we will do is to take on some main ones because they represent a common vaccine movement theme against sites with graphs very similar to the one found in posts like this.

In fact, let’s look at Gorski’s attack on the late Ian Sinclair’s website.  He tells you to notice that there are six graphs, four of which are for vaccine-preventable diseases for which widespread vaccination was undertaken, two for which it was not. He will then say all of them show decreasing death rates from various diseases. And he will exclaim “Wow! It seems like slam dunk evidence, doesn’t it? Vaccines didn’t save us! After all, death rates were declining years before the vaccine, and they were declining for the diseases that didn’t even need a vaccine!

So having taken the main proposition which any sensible person would, Gorski then goes about trying to show you how deceitful, and cunning and manipulative are your own eyes.  He writes to persuade you to conclude from what is plain from decades and often a century or two of vaccination statistics, that you are wrong.  You cannot, nay, you must not believe it. 

Crazily, these kinds of graphs have only been brought into play because Gorski and people like Gorski have been frightening parents for a good century or two that their children will die and vaccines will save them from that.  So he and others are engaged in trying to move the goalposts to clear up the mess they made with what in other circumstances Gorski might describe as their own “most breathtakingly spectacularly intellectually dishonest bits of vaccine propaganda that” Gorski “has ever seen“. [Don’t ya love it!]

Death rates.

This is how he follows on with a deceptively simple: “Here’s the problem.” Wow, David will say and he has in fact gone on to say: “It’s not surprising that death rates were declining before introduction of the vaccines. Medicine was improving.” Of course you will not realise that the data goes back two hundred years because David does not tell you, and that is way before socialised medicine ever came on the scene and way before the vast majority of working people could afford it [and believe us, a large proportion in the USA, long without socialised medicine, still cannot].  And yet the steady dramatic falls in disease mortality continued.

Now here is the real deceit.  Gorski never once mentions “attenuation“, which is well-known in medicine and it is the steady decline in severity of diseases over time, as shown by all these graphs.  His claim is to completely pretend natural attenuation of diseases does not exist and that it is all about “medicine improving“. 

Now would you agree that is or is not intellectual dishonesty?  Do you think it is right for a medical professional, a trained medical doctor, to abuse medical knowledge to make a claim a competent medical expert simply should not make?

David goes on:

More importantly, supportive care was improving. For example, take the case of polio. Before the introduction of the iron lung and its widespread use, for example, if a polio patient developed paralysis of the respiratory muscles, he would almost certainly die. The iron lung allowed such patients to live. Some even survived in an iron lung for decades.” 

Well, you will think, that is pretty convincing.  Everyone has heard of polio and iron lungs.  But what David fails to tell you is that was for a short period around the 1950s and that he has completely airbrushed out the prior 150 years.  He ignores the 1850s or the 1900s when large parts of western economies had working people living tightly packed in slums without adequate sanitation, nutrition or clean water, ripe for the spread of infectious diseases. 

Have you seen the film “Angela’s ashes“? If not, watch it and you will soon get some idea about how bad slums and living conditions were.  And that is not showing the worst either.  But you will realise what misleading garbage is written on blatant propaganda attack sites like Science Blogs dot com by Gorski and his buddies. 

Gorski fails to acknowledge or even accept [despite mountains of historical evidence outweighing his own cherry-picked bias] that as living conditions improved deaths from disease dropped dramatically before medicine even had much of a chance to play even a small role. 

In the UK the National Health Service only came into existence in 1948.  Before then ordinary working people got by without Gorski’s alleged “supportive care”.  His ridiculous claim it was “improving” is also pointless save to deceive.  When you haven’t got “it” in the first place, improvements in “it” are just as worthless.  But Gorski ploughs on having sucked the gullible into his scribbled rants.

But so as not to lose you and any credibility completely Gorski concedes “No doubt improved nutrition also played a role as well.” But with that tiny concession buried in thousands of Gorski’s inanities he rapidly moves on: “However, if you want to get an idea of the impact of vaccines on infectious disease, take a look at this graph  from the CDC of measles incidence, not death rates“:

CDC Measles Incidence Graph

Now here’s the problem” as Gorski would say.  [In fact he won’t and he did not for this part, so we need to]. First, he cherry picks starting in 1950.  That bizarrely leaves out the massive decline over the prior 150 years.  So no: 1) the vaccine was certainly not responsible for the massive decline in mortality and 2) that decline was still continuing after the vaccines were introduced and 3) it took place before “improved” medicine was commonly available to many [but still not all] in the West.

But Dr David Gorski leaves out even more.  So if you have not realised before, let’s help you now.    What else has Dr Gorski left out?  Notice the graph seems to show measles cases dramatically falling?  What you may not have noticed is that he has palmed the card and dealt you a crooked hand from the deck of cards he has hidden under the table.

Now here’s the problem“.  Without telling you, without batting an eyelid and likely without you noticing at all he flips to a graph of measles cases and not deaths to change the game completely.  So in one move, a “sleight of hand” just like a three-card trickster who cheats you of your money, he has changed the entire proposition from saving us all from death to saving us from getting what might often be a mild dose of measles, [with no risk of 1 in 25 families having a child with autism as a result of vaccination as US leading health officials have admitted].  And he has done this without telling you, without batting an eyelid and likely without you noticing at all.  He just flips to a graph of measles cases and not deaths.   It is not the same argument and is not comparable.  But you probably did not notice, but David certainly did.

Well “what’s wrong with that“, you might ask.  Plenty.  Want to know why?  Let’s explain it, straight  – with no Gorskiesque deceit in sight.

When Gorski’s graph shows a fall in cases, it is not showing a fall in cases.  It is showing a fall in the numbers of diagnoses of measles which have been reported.

When doctors say they are diagnosing what they really mean is they are guessing pretty much all the time.

The problem with statistics on cases and not deaths is they depend upon lots of doctors’ guesses.  Doctors’ guesses also follow fads, fashions and trends.  And Gorski also fails to point out that symptoms are not like those in textbooks.  Some diseases have symptoms which look a lot like other diseases.  Some patients will have some but not all symptoms.  Some symptoms are milder in some patients than others.  So a diagnosis a patient has one disease and not another is often a guess. And it is often wrong.

What Gorski does not tell you is the practice of medicine is not science.  In fact he will tell you he “follows the science“.  He seems such a zealot he would probably prefer to throw himself under a train before admitting medical practice is not a science.

When doctors believe there could be a measles epidemic they can diagnose 73 out of 74 patients as having measles when they don’t have measles.  That is a real figure obtained from official data. You can find details here [at the end of the “Introduction” and before the “Contents”].

This also works in reverse.  When doctors have information a child has been vaccinated they will tend to rule out the vaccinated disease as a possibility and guess [diagnose] a different disease.  That is what the educated guessing process doctors call “diagnosis” is all about.

So when there are real measles cases, and doctors think the symptoms they see are not likely to be measles, they don’t diagnose measles. 

Did Gorski tell you any of this?  Nope.  But we are.  In fact all doctors in the USA were told that in 1967 measles was to be eradicated in just that year alone with the measles vaccine.  This was in a formally published statement “EPIDEMIOLOGIC BASIS FOR ERADICATION OF MEASLES IN 1967 A Statement By the Public Health Service” by David J. Sencer, M.D., H. Bruce Dull, M.D., Alexander D. Langmuir, M.D. PHR Vol. 82, No. 3, March 1967 253

So you can be sure that in the USA from the moment the first vaccine was licensed in 1963, the hype would have already started.  Thus, on the one hand the graph Gorski presented you has figures for diagnoses [guesses] showing a dramatic decline of measles cases from the very moment the vaccine was first licensed in the USA.  And on the other hand the moment doctors think it cannot be measles, they stop diagnosing measles and guess something else instead. So when there are real measles cases they will not be diagnosed.

So Gorski’s graph is totally misleading.  But glossing over it all he goes on to argue by analogy claiming “Similar results were seen most recently from several other vaccines, including the Haemophilus influenza type B vaccine, as the CDC points out:

Hib vaccine is another good example, because Hib disease was prevalent until just a few years ago, when conjugate vaccines that can be used for infants were finally developed. (The polysaccharide vaccine previously available could not be used for infants, in whom most cases of the disease were occurring.) Since sanitation is not better now than it was in 1990, it is hard to attribute the virtual disappearance of Haemophilus influenzae disease in children in recent years (from an estimated 20,000 cases a year to 1,419 cases in 1993, and dropping) to anything other than the vaccine.”

And then you might ask, what is wrong with that?  Again, plenty.  The clue is in the word “estimated” in “the virtual disappearance of Haemophilus influenzae disease in children in recent years (from an estimated 20,000 cases a year to 1,419 cases in 1993“?

To put it bluntly, one too many a health official including one too many in the US CDC make up grossly exaggerated estimates to make it look like they are doing their job.  Paying their mortgage depends on it.  So on the one hand they want to make it look like disease is everywhere and on the other that they are controlling and fixing the problem. 

The CDC was officially castigated by the US Senate in an official report CDC Off Centeras an agency which “cannot demonstrate it is controlling disease“  but which was managing to spend US$11 billion in tax dollars every year not doing what even its name says it is supposed to – Center for Disease Control.

Flu death estimates are a classic example.  The US CDC claims there are an estimated 36,000 annual flu deaths so they can promote flu vaccines and prove later how successful they have been.  Their problem is the UK were doing the same thing, but got caught and the Chief Medical Officer had to “fess up”.  You can read the details here.  Flu deaths in the UK averaged no more than 33 annually despite Department of Health claims estimating 12,000 people die annually: 360 times higher than actual deaths.  If a plane fell out of the sky over the UK, the way the Department of Health calculated flu deaths, these would have been included in their flu deaths figure.  Read it for yourself and see here.

Now, do you think Dr David Gorski is being intellectually honest?

Gorski’s graph claims a fall in measles cases from the moment the first measles vaccine was licensed in 1963.  The widespread use of measles vaccine in the US in a mass public vaccination programme started in 1967 which was nearly 5 years later. And the early vaccines were withdrawn because they were ineffective or caused high rates of adverse reactions.  The 1963 licensed inactivated (“killed”) vaccine was withdrawn in  1967 because it did not protect against measles virus infection – it just did not work but it took nearly 5 years to find out. Additionally, it was not until 1968 that what was claimed a more effective safer vaccine was introduced.  This was the attenuated strain vaccine (Edmonston-Enders). These further attenuated vaccines caused fewer reactions than the original Edmonston B vaccine.  The 1963 licensed live attenuated vaccine (Edmonston B strain) was withdrawn in 1975 because of a high frequency of adverse reactions.  A further attenuated vaccine (Schwarz) was first introduced in 1965 but is also no longer used: Measles Epidemiology and Prevention of Vaccine-Preventable Diseases The Pink Book: Course Textbook – 12th Edition Second Printing (May 2012)

As you can see, the US authorities kept a useless vaccine in use for 5 years seemingly without realising it.  They kept a harmful vaccine in use for at least 10 years before replacing it.  So this gives you an idea of how difficult it is for parents to prove a vaccine is useless or one harmed their child when the US CDC pretends for 10 years a vaccine they later withdrew as dangerous is OK to give US kids.  And it also tells you, you cannot trust government and you cannot trust health officials.

And you may also not realise it but these were dangerous, unethical and illegal mass experiments on children, US children, directed by health officials of what is now the US Centers for Disease Control.  And the CDC is still doing illegal and dangerous experiments on US children with vaccines, but telling the public and media the vaccines are safe and effective.  Nothing has changed.  Has the US CDC ever used any of its annual US$11 billion budget in developing an effective treatment for measles?  Nope.  There is no effective treatment.  The CDC is a one trick pony.  And if they did develop an effective treatment like a measles pill, and a pill for other diseases, they might be out of a job.

Does Dr David Gorski warn you?  Nope.  He instead does the opposite with misinformation put out in a distasteful manner on his blogs.  [And he is supposed to be a professional medical doctor with high ethical standards, just like the CDC’s health officials.]

So you can see how Gorski simply laps up information he gets off the internet from unreliable and dangerous websites like that operated by the US Centers for Disease Control without exercising any critical faculties over dangerous and false health information given out by US health officials which ends up with US kids getting harmed [and possibly killed].  It is typical of the genre.  But he will attack and disparage others from the relative safety of his own blogs and he does so routinely.  Go over to his blogs and read for yourself.  Make your own mind up whether Dr Gorski is fair and open minded or is he something else?  Ask yourself are his blog posts fair and balanced or bullying and harassing those whose legitimate views he wants to censor from common knowledge in favour of his drug industry supporting version of the “truth“.  Overall ask yourself is he and Science Blogs dot com a source to be trusted?

The answer to that has to be a Big Fat “NO”.

And for how many other “vaccinatable diseases” have the records of reported cases diminished not because the vaccine works but because medical professionals do not diagnose the cases?  Remember, in many cases symptoms can be mild and/or look like another disease.  In the UK claims were being made for whooping cough being practically eradicated when the reality was the cases were not being reported: Easily Missed? Whooping cough Harnden, A BMJ 2009;338:b1772. Research Whooping cough in school age children with persistent cough: prospective cohort study in primary care Harnden, A BMJ 2006;333:174

Polio is another because not only are cases unlikely to be reported but cases not involving any symptom of paralysis are hardly likely to be noticed let alone reported and the UK form for reporting is for cases involving temporary or permanent paralysis and not non paralytic polio.

One thing you can say for sure about a death, is the patient is dead.  And another is death is the most extreme consequence of a disease.  A measure of how less dangerous a disease has become is from the rate at which mortality falls over time, so you can be certain all other kinds of adverse consequences will similarly be far less serious.  But Gorski never tells you that nor that statistics on reported cases are wholly unreliable.  That is not what Gorski or the US CDC want you to know or even guess at.  The more tax dollars the CDC can spend on vaccines, the more certain they are of staying in a job.  But then, they do have mortgages to pay don’t they, so we guess it must be OK to pay for them with your child’s health or the next child’s autism or asthma or diabetes [and so on and so forth].

All of the foregoing is why people don’t believe allopathic doctors like Gorski or government health officials and experts.  Because one too many are deceiving you, misleading you and acting against your best health interests and those of your children.  And if you want a great example, go over to Dr David Gorski’s various blog sites and read the nasty cranky stuff he writes, full of deceptions and misleading information.