England Has 250,000 More Autistics in 15 years – 1 in 21 English Schoolboys is Now Autistic Official Education Department Government Statistics Indicate


Official UK statistics indicate 1 in 21 English schoolboys is now autistic.  Worse still when school leavers are included, in just 15 years the total number of new autistic school children and young adult school leavers is 258,000 according to CHS’ estimates from the official figures.

This is good solid information.

We have only just heard for Northern Ireland that: One in 16 Boys is Autistic Show New UK Official Statistics – But Nobody Cares – And Its Worse than COVID-19

These are all truly horrifying figures.  And you can see from the chart how the numbers of New Autistics have been increasing every year.

If the USA follows the same pattern Americans have today an extra 1.6 million New Autistic children and young adults added in just the last 15 years.  But the US has the highest vaccine burden of any country in the world, so the figure could be higher.  1.6 million is a crude estimate for the equivalent number of New Autistic American children and young adults added to the US population over the past 15 years. This is calculated by multiplying CHS’ estimate for England by 6 times.  The USA has approximately six times the population of England [330 million US vs 54 million England].

People like Sir Norman Lamb a former UK health minister and Matt Hancock the current English Secretary of State for Health along with many others have been pretending nothing is wrong, there are no New Autistics in any greater numbers than before and that vaccines have nothing to do with causing autism. It is just not true and the evidence of the numbers of New Autistics has been building up for over three decades now.

The British Government can spend billions on a lockdown caused by junk science but does not care about 250,000 New Autistics added to the English population in just 15 years. To these we need to add the Irish, Welsh and Scottish New Autistic children and the now young adult New Autistic school leavers in those regions over the past 15 years.

The figures these estimates are taken from are highly reliable.  They are not from inaccurate surveys. The figures of New Autistics are from official government figures from the annual schools census. The census counts every child in school in England known to be autistic.

The hollow claims of those who either want to cover up this disaster for children and their families or bury their heads in the sand or sit in denial, that there is no real increase in New Autistics are hollower by the second.  It is not credible nor scientific.

But if anyone wants to play stupid games claiming there is no increase and we always had these numbers of New Autistic children, the recent figures from Ireland show that nearly two thirds of New Autistic children are stage 5.

What does that mean?  It means if we always had the same numbers of autistic children and young adults before now, two thirds of them would be so severely disabled you could not miss them unless you were blind deaf or dumb or the UK’s National Autistic Society, [NAS] or the UK’s Autistica or Professor Brugha and his UK team of “expert” autism researchers at Leicester University. or even Professor Simon Baron-Cohen and his team at Cambridge University.  Professor Baron-Cohen and his team were quoted in The Independent  saying:

…. the authors dismissed suggestions that changes in lifestyle or the environment were behind the rise. They put it down to improved awareness and detection, and the inclusion of milder conditions within the diagnosis.”

NAS have claimed for a very very long time the prevalence of autistic conditions is 1 to 1.1%.  Autistica has paid Brugha and Baron-Cohen’s groups to carry out research. Autistica tells us 1% of children are autistic.  None of these groups and organisations recognise the dramatic increase nor do they accept the scientific evidence that vaccines play any role.

Is this cognitive dissonance? Can it be that?  Or is something else in play?

Encyclopedia Britannica:

Cognitive dissonance, the mental conflict that occurs when beliefs or assumptions are contradicted by new information. The unease or tension that the conflict arouses in people is relieved by one of several defensive maneuvers: they reject, explain away, or avoid the new information; persuade themselves that no conflict really exists; reconcile the differences; or resort to any other defensive means of preserving stability or order in their conceptions of the world and of themselves.


And of course over this period the scientific evidence that vaccines play a significant role in causing autistic conditions has been building up steadily. 

To that body of scientific evidence can be added this just published 28 May 2020 journal paper Analysis of health outcomes in vaccinated and unvaccinated children: Developmental delays, asthma, ear infections and gastrointestinal disorders.

You can read the authors’ news release and an explanation here:

Unvaccinated Children Much Healthier Shows New Study [May 2020]

How CHS’ estimates are calculated

Whilst the new official figures provide a sound base for these CHS estimates of New Autistics that is not the full picture as you will see from the annual totals below and notes. 

For every 3 cases identified as autistic in the current English school population, there are another two New Autistic children who have not been identified as autistic: (2009) Baron-Cohen et al “Prevalence of autism-spectrum conditions: UK school-based population study“. 

The science has also consistently shown about 4 in every 5 New Autistic cases is a boy.  The figures from Northern Ireland indicate now that 3 in every 4 New Autistic cases is a boy.

Hence taking these aspects into account provides the overall 3% prevalence of New Autistic schoolchildren in England as at January 2019 and the 1 in 21 figure for New Autistic English schoolboys.

Further figures are due for publication in just over a month’s time.  CHS will keep you posted.

And what else must we think about?

How old are the New Autistics and why do we need to know?

What is the current likely age range?  What is the point of knowing this? 

The wool has been pulled over too many peoples’ eyes so far.  All vaccine aware people need to be clear about the facts so that the chances of that continuing are minimised. 

The mainstream have been trying for decades to claim there has been no increase. They have wanted to claim there are the same numbers of adult autistics as child autistics.  Indeed Professor Brugha went so far as to claim this is the case but that his team just failed to find them!!  Again, can that be taking cognitive dissonance to a new level or can it be something more?

In this age of autism the age range of the New Autistics is from early childhood to around 44 years of age.  In only another 16 years the oldest New Autistics will be in their 60s [if still alive].

Essentially we are moving from and have moved from this being a problem affecting children only. 

Despite the age range of the New Autistics being approximately between 0 to 44 years, the age distribution of cases is heavier for the younger ages as you can see from the chart at the beginning of this article.

So even when the oldest New Autistic reaches 60 years of age he or she will be at the bottom point of an inverted pyramid of many many more New Autistics.  Their number each year going back will be greater than the succeeding year.  The numbers will be greater the younger in age they are than the previous year’s New Autistics.  If this is all allowed to continue with the current vaccine schedules unchanged the number of New Autistics each year might plateau eventually but not for many years from now.

In 2004 the youngest of the English New Autistic schoolchildren would be aged about 4 to 5 years old.  And the oldest about 18 years old.  So now in 2020 the age range for the New Autistics during just 2004 is 19 to 33 years old. 

And this problem started in the mid-1980s with the worldwide expansion of vaccine programmes. The MMR vaccine was the first but others were added as the years went by. 

Also there were “catch-up” vaccinations so that older children in the mid 1980s were vaccinated.  This is going back to about 1986.  A ten year old in 1986 still alive today would be 44 years of age.

Why is there “vaccine hesitancy”?

There are two main reasons. 

It is because no one can hide the problem any longer and more and more mothers and fathers and future parents planning their new families are becoming and are vaccine aware. 

Vaccine awareness is a political and philosophical position based on knowledge and science of the risks vaccines pose to you and your children.

The other reason is the drug pushers have realised it is counter-productive label-libelling vaccine aware parents as “anti-vaccine“. So they have come up with this new term “vaccine hesitancy“.

So now you know the reasons why this term exists.

Every time they add a new vaccine to the schedule we get more New Autistic children

Japanese & British Data Show Vaccines Cause Autism


The data for the graph above is from a 2001 paper by Jick et al.  The dates of introduction of the vaccines has been superimposed.  The authors of the paper claimed [emphasis added]:-

The increase ….. could be due to …… environmental factors not yet identified.”  “Mumps, measles, and rubella vaccine and the incidence of autism recorded by general practitioners: a time trend analysis” BMJ 2001;322:460-463 24 February.

No need to guess what those environmental factors are. We have 258,000 new reasons to know for sure.


Sources for the 2020 autism figures in this CHS post: Data from each Annual School’s Census from the Department for Education from 2004 to 2019.

Percentage of School children in England with ASD as Primary or Secondary Special Educational Need (2).  Sources – Annual School’s Census from Department for Education [See Notes at end]

Year (1)

% School children in England with ASD as Primary or Secondary Special Educational Need (2)

Census Taken

Total Autistic Children



January 2005





January 2006


(3), (4)



January 2007





January 2008





January 2009





January 2010





January 2011




January 2012




January 2013




January 2014




January 2014




January 2016




January 2017




January 2018




January 2019



(1) Figures are collected in January eg. 2016 figures reflect the 2015 school population. The absolute numerical totals shown are the totals of children with ASD as a primary or secondary educational need as taken directly from the official Government statistics.

(2) Percentages are adjusted to account for undiagnosed children. 2 in 5 autistic school children at any time have not yet been diagnosed. (2009) Baron-Cohen et al “Prevalence of autism-spectrum conditions: UK school-based population study“.

Additionally, the yet-to-be-diagnosed figure of 2 yet-to-be-diagnosed in every five autistic schoolchildren is to be expected.

Even up to and after the age of 18 some autistic children will not yet have been diagnosed. In any group of schoolchildren up to half of those under 10 will not have been diagnosed. This is because the UK median age of diagnosis of Asperger syndrome is 9 years 8 months. In contrast for ‘autistic disorder’ the median age of diagnosis is 3 years 9 months.  However it is 6 years 4 months for Pervasive Developmental Disorder—Not Otherwise Specified/Autism Spectrum Disorder: [Williams, E., Thomas, K., Sidebotham, H., & Emond, A. (2008). Prevalence and characteristics of autistic spectrum disorders in the ALSPAC cohort. Developmental Medicine and Child Neurology, 50(9), 672–677.]

(3) For 2004 to 2009 the total estimated = a) actual figure for primary SEN + b) estimated additional 18.5% with secondary SEN.  The reason for this is that prior to January 2011 the figure for Secondary SEN is not recorded. However, for each year since then secondary SENs have consistently been close to 18.5% of the total permitting a reasonable estimate to be made of the total.

(4) As a cross-check indicating the reliability of the estimates for 2004-2009 the 2004 figure of 0.91% very closely corresponds to 0.9% figure from independent ONS 2005 Survey “Mental health of children and young people in Great Britain, 2004” A survey carried out by the Office for National Statistics on behalf of the Department of Health and the Scottish Executive.

(5) Estimates of the number of autistic adult school leavers over the 15 year period 2004 to 2018 [inclusive] assumes 1/13th of the total each year leave school as adults. This is an estimate for illustration. A more accurate figure can be calculated from the detailed statistics.  The figures on these estimates are already far far too big.



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